**Trader consensus favoring an 11°C low (67% implied probability) for Munich on September 13, 2026, stems from numerical weather prediction models showing overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and rain, following daytime highs near 21–23°C.** Forecasts from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate evening precipitation and moderating westerly winds that limit heat retention, with minimums projected in the 12–15°C range but potential for sharper drops if showers enhance evaporative cooling. This aligns closely with September climatology, where the long-term average low sits around 10°C at stations like München-Nymphenburg. Recent model consensus has emphasized the timing of the frontal passage, keeping probabilities concentrated on 10–11°C while assigning lower weight to warmer outcomes above 12°C amid the uncertain rain intensity and boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming hourly observations will refine these market-implied odds as the night progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мюнхене 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 13 сентября?
7°C или ниже 13%
8°C 4%
9°C 4%
12°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
13%
8°C
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
36%
11°C
67%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C или выше
<1%
7°C или ниже 13%
8°C 4%
9°C 4%
12°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$0 Объем
13%
8°C
$108 Объем
4%
9°C
$102 Объем
4%
10°C
$108 Объем
36%
11°C
$267 Объем
67%
12°C
$118 Объем
<1%
13°C
$16 Объем
<1%
14°C
$15 Объем
<1%
15°C
$15 Объем
<1%
16°C
$122 Объем
<1%
17°C или выше
$15 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favoring an 11°C low (67% implied probability) for Munich on September 13, 2026, stems from numerical weather prediction models showing overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and rain, following daytime highs near 21–23°C.**
Forecasts from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate evening precipitation and moderating westerly winds that limit heat retention, with minimums projected in the 12–15°C range but potential for sharper drops if showers enhance evaporative cooling. This aligns closely with September climatology, where the long-term average low sits around 10°C at stations like München-Nymphenburg. Recent model consensus has emphasized the timing of the frontal passage, keeping probabilities concentrated on 10–11°C while assigning lower weight to warmer outcomes above 12°C amid the uncertain rain intensity and boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming hourly observations will refine these market-implied odds as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$885Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favoring an 11°C low (67% implied probability) for Munich on September 13, 2026, stems from numerical weather prediction models showing overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and rain, following daytime highs near 21–23°C.**
Forecasts from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate evening precipitation and moderating westerly winds that limit heat retention, with minimums projected in the 12–15°C range but potential for sharper drops if showers enhance evaporative cooling. This aligns closely with September climatology, where the long-term average low sits around 10°C at stations like München-Nymphenburg. Recent model consensus has emphasized the timing of the frontal passage, keeping probabilities concentrated on 10–11°C while assigning lower weight to warmer outcomes above 12°C amid the uncertain rain intensity and boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming hourly observations will refine these market-implied odds as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$885Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus favoring an 11°C low (67% implied probability) for Munich on September 13, 2026, stems from numerical weather prediction models showing overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and rain, following daytime highs near 21–23°C.** Forecasts from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate evening precipitation and moderating westerly winds that limit heat retention, with minimums projected in the 12–15°C range but potential for sharper drops if showers enhance evaporative cooling. This aligns closely with September climatology, where the long-term average low sits around 10°C at stations like München-Nymphenburg. Recent model consensus has emphasized the timing of the frontal passage, keeping probabilities concentrated on 10–11°C while assigning lower weight to warmer outcomes above 12°C amid the uncertain rain intensity and boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming hourly observations will refine these market-implied odds as the night progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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