Official temperature observations from New York City stations recorded a daily low of 74-75°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the market's 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system, with minimal overnight radiative cooling due to urban heat island effects and light winds. Historical August lows in the city average near 68°F, but recent warm anomalies from elevated sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic supported the higher minimum. Measurement revisions or station-specific discrepancies remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though agency verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable at this stage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 12 августа?
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F или ниже <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,464 Объем
$14,464 Объем
63°F или ниже
Нет
64-65°F
Нет
66-67°F
Нет
68-69°F
Нет
70-71°F
Нет
72-73°F
Нет
74-75°F
Да
76-77°F
Нет
78-79°F
Нет
80-81°F
Нет
82°F или выше
Нет
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F или ниже <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,464 Объем
$14,464 Объем
63°F или ниже
Нет
64-65°F
Нет
66-67°F
Нет
68-69°F
Нет
70-71°F
Нет
72-73°F
Нет
74-75°F
Да
76-77°F
Нет
78-79°F
Нет
80-81°F
Нет
82°F или выше
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official temperature observations from New York City stations recorded a daily low of 74-75°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the market's 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system, with minimal overnight radiative cooling due to urban heat island effects and light winds. Historical August lows in the city average near 68°F, but recent warm anomalies from elevated sea-surface temperatures in the western Atlantic supported the higher minimum. Measurement revisions or station-specific discrepancies remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though agency verification protocols make such adjustments highly improbable at this stage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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