Traders assign overwhelming 99% implied probability to a 20°C low for Seoul/Incheon on September 13 because official observations from Incheon International Airport, the standard reference station, have recorded a daily minimum of exactly 20°C. Korea Meteorological Administration data and supporting mesoscale model runs confirm stable overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds, preventing further drops. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima near 18–22°C, placing the current reading squarely within expected bounds. Resolution hinges on final verified station readings, so only a post-analysis correction or use of an alternate site could alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 13 сентября?
20°C 99%
18°C 3%
19°C 1.9%
17°C <1%
$10,496 Объем
$10,496 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
20°C 99%
18°C 3%
19°C 1.9%
17°C <1%
$10,496 Объем
$10,496 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$254 Объем
<1%
17°C
$624 Объем
1%
18°C
$1,025 Объем
3%
19°C
$1,066 Объем
2%
20°C
$3,783 Объем
99%
21°C
$1,913 Объем
<1%
22°C
$311 Объем
<1%
23°C
$220 Объем
<1%
24°C
$490 Объем
<1%
25°C
$474 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$337 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming 99% implied probability to a 20°C low for Seoul/Incheon on September 13 because official observations from Incheon International Airport, the standard reference station, have recorded a daily minimum of exactly 20°C. Korea Meteorological Administration data and supporting mesoscale model runs confirm stable overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds, preventing further drops. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima near 18–22°C, placing the current reading squarely within expected bounds. Resolution hinges on final verified station readings, so only a post-analysis correction or use of an alternate site could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$10,496Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming 99% implied probability to a 20°C low for Seoul/Incheon on September 13 because official observations from Incheon International Airport, the standard reference station, have recorded a daily minimum of exactly 20°C. Korea Meteorological Administration data and supporting mesoscale model runs confirm stable overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds, preventing further drops. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima near 18–22°C, placing the current reading squarely within expected bounds. Resolution hinges on final verified station readings, so only a post-analysis correction or use of an alternate site could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,496Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming 99% implied probability to a 20°C low for Seoul/Incheon on September 13 because official observations from Incheon International Airport, the standard reference station, have recorded a daily minimum of exactly 20°C. Korea Meteorological Administration data and supporting mesoscale model runs confirm stable overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds, preventing further drops. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima near 18–22°C, placing the current reading squarely within expected bounds. Resolution hinges on final verified station readings, so only a post-analysis correction or use of an alternate site could alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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