Forecast models from agencies including Shenzhen's meteorological bureau and international sources converge on a minimum temperature near 26°C for August 28, driven by persistent high humidity above 85%, extensive cloud cover, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical coastal setting. Recent heavy rainfall has maintained elevated dew points around 26°C, keeping surface temperatures from falling further overnight. Trader consensus aligns with these conditions, assigning over 70% implied probability to exactly 26°C while limiting odds for 25°C or below, as no significant frontal passage or clearer skies are expected before resolution. Updated model runs and official observations on the 28th will determine final settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 28 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 28 августа?
26°C 96%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
23°C 1.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
28%
26°C
74%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 96%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
23°C 1.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$132 Объем
<1%
23°C
$39 Объем
1%
24°C
$16 Объем
2%
25°C
$50 Объем
28%
26°C
$248 Объем
74%
27°C
$75 Объем
1%
28°C
$276 Объем
<1%
29°C
$502 Объем
<1%
30°C
$62 Объем
<1%
31°C
$222 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$72 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including Shenzhen's meteorological bureau and international sources converge on a minimum temperature near 26°C for August 28, driven by persistent high humidity above 85%, extensive cloud cover, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical coastal setting. Recent heavy rainfall has maintained elevated dew points around 26°C, keeping surface temperatures from falling further overnight. Trader consensus aligns with these conditions, assigning over 70% implied probability to exactly 26°C while limiting odds for 25°C or below, as no significant frontal passage or clearer skies are expected before resolution. Updated model runs and official observations on the 28th will determine final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,693Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including Shenzhen's meteorological bureau and international sources converge on a minimum temperature near 26°C for August 28, driven by persistent high humidity above 85%, extensive cloud cover, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical coastal setting. Recent heavy rainfall has maintained elevated dew points around 26°C, keeping surface temperatures from falling further overnight. Trader consensus aligns with these conditions, assigning over 70% implied probability to exactly 26°C while limiting odds for 25°C or below, as no significant frontal passage or clearer skies are expected before resolution. Updated model runs and official observations on the 28th will determine final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,693Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including Shenzhen's meteorological bureau and international sources converge on a minimum temperature near 26°C for August 28, driven by persistent high humidity above 85%, extensive cloud cover, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical coastal setting. Recent heavy rainfall has maintained elevated dew points around 26°C, keeping surface temperatures from falling further overnight. Trader consensus aligns with these conditions, assigning over 70% implied probability to exactly 26°C while limiting odds for 25°C or below, as no significant frontal passage or clearer skies are expected before resolution. Updated model runs and official observations on the 28th will determine final settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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