Recent forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature on August 31 most likely in the 23–25°C range, as models converge on overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds following a cooler, rainy period through August 29. Recent observations show minima dipping to 20–21°C amid northerly flow and precipitation, but drier, stabilizing conditions are expected to limit further cooling. Trader consensus around 24°C and 25°C reflects small differences in ensemble guidance on cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter heat retention by 1–2°C. New high-resolution model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten this distribution ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 31 августа?
24°C 45%
25°C 39%
23°C 17%
26°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
5%
23°C
17%
24°C
45%
25°C
39%
26°C
12%
27°C
8%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
25°C 39%
23°C 17%
26°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$0 Объем
1%
21°C
$0 Объем
8%
22°C
$20 Объем
5%
23°C
$61 Объем
17%
24°C
$125 Объем
45%
25°C
$160 Объем
39%
26°C
$0 Объем
12%
27°C
$0 Объем
8%
28°C
$0 Объем
4%
29°C
$0 Объем
1%
30°C or higher
$41 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature on August 31 most likely in the 23–25°C range, as models converge on overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds following a cooler, rainy period through August 29. Recent observations show minima dipping to 20–21°C amid northerly flow and precipitation, but drier, stabilizing conditions are expected to limit further cooling. Trader consensus around 24°C and 25°C reflects small differences in ensemble guidance on cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter heat retention by 1–2°C. New high-resolution model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten this distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$407Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature on August 31 most likely in the 23–25°C range, as models converge on overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds following a cooler, rainy period through August 29. Recent observations show minima dipping to 20–21°C amid northerly flow and precipitation, but drier, stabilizing conditions are expected to limit further cooling. Trader consensus around 24°C and 25°C reflects small differences in ensemble guidance on cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter heat retention by 1–2°C. New high-resolution model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten this distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$407Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature on August 31 most likely in the 23–25°C range, as models converge on overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds following a cooler, rainy period through August 29. Recent observations show minima dipping to 20–21°C amid northerly flow and precipitation, but drier, stabilizing conditions are expected to limit further cooling. Trader consensus around 24°C and 25°C reflects small differences in ensemble guidance on cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter heat retention by 1–2°C. New high-resolution model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten this distribution ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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