Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover from a passing frontal system on September 20–21 have cooled surface conditions in Tokyo, creating uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures for September 22. Official JMA forecasts and ensemble models indicate a transition to mostly cloudy skies with lighter winds, yielding projected lows near 22–24°C, though variations in cloud persistence or residual moisture could push readings below 18°C or allow warmer advection to exceed 28°C. Historical September minima average around 19°C, but the current setup's model spread—driven by steering patterns and humidity levels—explains the near-even market-implied odds between the cooler and warmer extremes. Updated JMA guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will clarify thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 22 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 22 сентября?
22°C 38%
23°C 37%
24°C 32%
21°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
5%
19°C
7%
20°C
11%
21°C
19%
22°C
38%
23°C
37%
24°C
32%
25°C
11%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C или выше
2%
22°C 38%
23°C 37%
24°C 32%
21°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$0 Объем
5%
19°C
$0 Объем
7%
20°C
$0 Объем
11%
21°C
$0 Объем
19%
22°C
$0 Объем
38%
23°C
$0 Объем
37%
24°C
$0 Объем
32%
25°C
$0 Объем
11%
26°C
$0 Объем
2%
27°C
$0 Объем
2%
28°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover from a passing frontal system on September 20–21 have cooled surface conditions in Tokyo, creating uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures for September 22. Official JMA forecasts and ensemble models indicate a transition to mostly cloudy skies with lighter winds, yielding projected lows near 22–24°C, though variations in cloud persistence or residual moisture could push readings below 18°C or allow warmer advection to exceed 28°C. Historical September minima average around 19°C, but the current setup's model spread—driven by steering patterns and humidity levels—explains the near-even market-implied odds between the cooler and warmer extremes. Updated JMA guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will clarify thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover from a passing frontal system on September 20–21 have cooled surface conditions in Tokyo, creating uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures for September 22. Official JMA forecasts and ensemble models indicate a transition to mostly cloudy skies with lighter winds, yielding projected lows near 22–24°C, though variations in cloud persistence or residual moisture could push readings below 18°C or allow warmer advection to exceed 28°C. Historical September minima average around 19°C, but the current setup's model spread—driven by steering patterns and humidity levels—explains the near-even market-implied odds between the cooler and warmer extremes. Updated JMA guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will clarify thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover from a passing frontal system on September 20–21 have cooled surface conditions in Tokyo, creating uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures for September 22. Official JMA forecasts and ensemble models indicate a transition to mostly cloudy skies with lighter winds, yielding projected lows near 22–24°C, though variations in cloud persistence or residual moisture could push readings below 18°C or allow warmer advection to exceed 28°C. Historical September minima average around 19°C, but the current setup's model spread—driven by steering patterns and humidity levels—explains the near-even market-implied odds between the cooler and warmer extremes. Updated JMA guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will clarify thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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