Persistent rain and overcast skies forecasted for Tokyo on September 20 by multiple models are anchoring trader sentiment toward 21–22°C lows, which together hold nearly 70% implied probability. Cloud cover and steady precipitation limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and northerly flow maintain mild overnight temperatures, narrowing the range between daytime highs near 23–24°C and minima. These conditions align with historical patterns for wet September days, when average lows of 20.5°C often rise several degrees under similar synoptic setups. Upcoming model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency updates will refine wind and rainfall timing, the key variables that could shift resolution toward 20°C or 23°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 20 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 20 сентября?
22°C 40%
21°C 36%
19°C 19%
20°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
10%
19°C
19%
20°C
13%
21°C
36%
22°C
33%
23°C
12%
24°C
8%
25°C
7%
26°C или выше
2%
22°C 40%
21°C 36%
19°C 19%
20°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
17°C
$0 Объем
2%
18°C
$0 Объем
10%
19°C
$0 Объем
19%
20°C
$0 Объем
13%
21°C
$166 Объем
36%
22°C
$121 Объем
33%
23°C
$102 Объем
12%
24°C
$0 Объем
8%
25°C
$0 Объем
7%
26°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and overcast skies forecasted for Tokyo on September 20 by multiple models are anchoring trader sentiment toward 21–22°C lows, which together hold nearly 70% implied probability. Cloud cover and steady precipitation limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and northerly flow maintain mild overnight temperatures, narrowing the range between daytime highs near 23–24°C and minima. These conditions align with historical patterns for wet September days, when average lows of 20.5°C often rise several degrees under similar synoptic setups. Upcoming model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency updates will refine wind and rainfall timing, the key variables that could shift resolution toward 20°C or 23°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$389Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and overcast skies forecasted for Tokyo on September 20 by multiple models are anchoring trader sentiment toward 21–22°C lows, which together hold nearly 70% implied probability. Cloud cover and steady precipitation limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and northerly flow maintain mild overnight temperatures, narrowing the range between daytime highs near 23–24°C and minima. These conditions align with historical patterns for wet September days, when average lows of 20.5°C often rise several degrees under similar synoptic setups. Upcoming model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency updates will refine wind and rainfall timing, the key variables that could shift resolution toward 20°C or 23°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$389Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and overcast skies forecasted for Tokyo on September 20 by multiple models are anchoring trader sentiment toward 21–22°C lows, which together hold nearly 70% implied probability. Cloud cover and steady precipitation limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and northerly flow maintain mild overnight temperatures, narrowing the range between daytime highs near 23–24°C and minima. These conditions align with historical patterns for wet September days, when average lows of 20.5°C often rise several degrees under similar synoptic setups. Upcoming model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency updates will refine wind and rainfall timing, the key variables that could shift resolution toward 20°C or 23°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы