Incumbent Democratic Representative Lori Trahan maintains a dominant position in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, underpinning the market's strong preference for a Democratic winner. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and has delivered consistent large Democratic margins, including 97.5 percent for Trahan in 2024. Forecasters across major outlets rate the race Solid Democratic. Weak Republican primary contenders and an independent candidate offer minimal general-election threat, while Trahan holds a substantial cash-on-hand advantage. A September 1 Democratic primary could introduce limited risk, yet national Republican midterm waves or unexpected personal developments represent the main scenarios capable of narrowing the current odds gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$13,839 Объем
$13,839 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
6%
$13,839 Объем
$13,839 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$5,045 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$8,794 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Lori Trahan maintains a dominant position in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, underpinning the market's strong preference for a Democratic winner. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and has delivered consistent large Democratic margins, including 97.5 percent for Trahan in 2024. Forecasters across major outlets rate the race Solid Democratic. Weak Republican primary contenders and an independent candidate offer minimal general-election threat, while Trahan holds a substantial cash-on-hand advantage. A September 1 Democratic primary could introduce limited risk, yet national Republican midterm waves or unexpected personal developments represent the main scenarios capable of narrowing the current odds gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$13,839Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Lori Trahan maintains a dominant position in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, underpinning the market's strong preference for a Democratic winner. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and has delivered consistent large Democratic margins, including 97.5 percent for Trahan in 2024. Forecasters across major outlets rate the race Solid Democratic. Weak Republican primary contenders and an independent candidate offer minimal general-election threat, while Trahan holds a substantial cash-on-hand advantage. A September 1 Democratic primary could introduce limited risk, yet national Republican midterm waves or unexpected personal developments represent the main scenarios capable of narrowing the current odds gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$13,839Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Lori Trahan maintains a dominant position in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election, underpinning the market's strong preference for a Democratic winner. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and has delivered consistent large Democratic margins, including 97.5 percent for Trahan in 2024. Forecasters across major outlets rate the race Solid Democratic. Weak Republican primary contenders and an independent candidate offer minimal general-election threat, while Trahan holds a substantial cash-on-hand advantage. A September 1 Democratic primary could introduce limited risk, yet national Republican midterm waves or unexpected personal developments represent the main scenarios capable of narrowing the current odds gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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