Traders assign an 87.5% probability to Nicolás Maduro avoiding conviction on every count in his Southern District of New York narco-terrorism case, reflecting the high evidentiary threshold for proving the full scope of alleged cocaine trafficking conspiracies, weapons violations, and support for designated foreign terrorist organizations. The case, built on a 2020 indictment expanded after his January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation, remains in extended pre-trial proceedings, with Judge Alvin Hellerstein denying dismissal motions in March yet delaying the next hearing until June 30, 2026. Maduro and co-defendant Cilia Flores have pleaded not guilty, while recent U.S. sanctions adjustments have enabled Venezuelan government funding for their defense. These procedural developments, combined with the multi-count structure and typical outcomes in complex federal drug cases, underpin the current market positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$102,591 Объем
$102,591 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Да
$102,591 Объем
$102,591 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an 87.5% probability to Nicolás Maduro avoiding conviction on every count in his Southern District of New York narco-terrorism case, reflecting the high evidentiary threshold for proving the full scope of alleged cocaine trafficking conspiracies, weapons violations, and support for designated foreign terrorist organizations. The case, built on a 2020 indictment expanded after his January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation, remains in extended pre-trial proceedings, with Judge Alvin Hellerstein denying dismissal motions in March yet delaying the next hearing until June 30, 2026. Maduro and co-defendant Cilia Flores have pleaded not guilty, while recent U.S. sanctions adjustments have enabled Venezuelan government funding for their defense. These procedural developments, combined with the multi-count structure and typical outcomes in complex federal drug cases, underpin the current market positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Объем
$102,591Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign an 87.5% probability to Nicolás Maduro avoiding conviction on every count in his Southern District of New York narco-terrorism case, reflecting the high evidentiary threshold for proving the full scope of alleged cocaine trafficking conspiracies, weapons violations, and support for designated foreign terrorist organizations. The case, built on a 2020 indictment expanded after his January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation, remains in extended pre-trial proceedings, with Judge Alvin Hellerstein denying dismissal motions in March yet delaying the next hearing until June 30, 2026. Maduro and co-defendant Cilia Flores have pleaded not guilty, while recent U.S. sanctions adjustments have enabled Venezuelan government funding for their defense. These procedural developments, combined with the multi-count structure and typical outcomes in complex federal drug cases, underpin the current market positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$102,591Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 87.5% probability to Nicolás Maduro avoiding conviction on every count in his Southern District of New York narco-terrorism case, reflecting the high evidentiary threshold for proving the full scope of alleged cocaine trafficking conspiracies, weapons violations, and support for designated foreign terrorist organizations. The case, built on a 2020 indictment expanded after his January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation, remains in extended pre-trial proceedings, with Judge Alvin Hellerstein denying dismissal motions in March yet delaying the next hearing until June 30, 2026. Maduro and co-defendant Cilia Flores have pleaded not guilty, while recent U.S. sanctions adjustments have enabled Venezuelan government funding for their defense. These procedural developments, combined with the multi-count structure and typical outcomes in complex federal drug cases, underpin the current market positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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