Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul holds a commanding 97% implied probability as the New York Democratic gubernatorial primary winner on June 23, driven by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February suspension of his left-wing challenge, which cited no viable path forward after Hochul's resounding state party endorsement. With no other credible challengers emerging in the filing window or recent polls, trader consensus reflects her unchallenged incumbency advantage, strong party machinery, and fundraising edge in a low-turnout primary. Upsets remain possible via a late high-profile entrant, personal scandal, or abrupt health issue, though historical base rates for incumbent primaries favor continuity absent major catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель первичных выборов губернатора-демократа Нью-Йорка
Победитель первичных выборов губернатора-демократа Нью-Йорка
$51,906 Объем
$51,906 Объем
23 июн. 2026 г.
Кэти Хокул
97%
Антонио Дельгадо
1%
$51,906 Объем
$51,906 Объем
23 июн. 2026 г.
Кэти Хокул
$40,454 Объем
97%
Антонио Дельгадо
$11,452 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.
If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul holds a commanding 97% implied probability as the New York Democratic gubernatorial primary winner on June 23, driven by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February suspension of his left-wing challenge, which cited no viable path forward after Hochul's resounding state party endorsement. With no other credible challengers emerging in the filing window or recent polls, trader consensus reflects her unchallenged incumbency advantage, strong party machinery, and fundraising edge in a low-turnout primary. Upsets remain possible via a late high-profile entrant, personal scandal, or abrupt health issue, though historical base rates for incumbent primaries favor continuity absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.
If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Nov 14, 2025, 2:29 PM ET
Объем
$51,906Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 14, 2025, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.
If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul holds a commanding 97% implied probability as the New York Democratic gubernatorial primary winner on June 23, driven by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February suspension of his left-wing challenge, which cited no viable path forward after Hochul's resounding state party endorsement. With no other credible challengers emerging in the filing window or recent polls, trader consensus reflects her unchallenged incumbency advantage, strong party machinery, and fundraising edge in a low-turnout primary. Upsets remain possible via a late high-profile entrant, personal scandal, or abrupt health issue, though historical base rates for incumbent primaries favor continuity absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.
If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Объем
$51,906Дата окончания
23 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 14, 2025, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul holds a commanding 97% implied probability as the New York Democratic gubernatorial primary winner on June 23, driven by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February suspension of his left-wing challenge, which cited no viable path forward after Hochul's resounding state party endorsement. With no other credible challengers emerging in the filing window or recent polls, trader consensus reflects her unchallenged incumbency advantage, strong party machinery, and fundraising edge in a low-turnout primary. Upsets remain possible via a late high-profile entrant, personal scandal, or abrupt health issue, though historical base rates for incumbent primaries favor continuity absent major catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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