Recent poor performance by Labour in local elections has intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting senior MPs and cabinet figures to call for his resignation and opening a potential leadership contest within the party. Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has emerged as the frontrunner after securing Labour's approval to contest a by-election in Makerfield, a step that would allow him to return to Parliament and mount a challenge. Other potential contenders, including former Health Secretary Wes Streeting and Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, have also positioned themselves amid the uncertainty. Traders appear to view Burnham's strong polling among party members and his established regional profile as key advantages in any contest before the autumn conference. The timeline hinges on the outcome of the June by-election and whether Starmer steps aside voluntarily or faces a formal vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭнди Бёрнем 56.8%
Новый премьер-министр не будет назначен в 2026 году 12%
Уэс Стритинг 10%
Анджела Рейнэр 10%
$7,293,747 Объем
$7,293,747 Объем
Энди Бёрнем
57%
Новый премьер-министр не будет назначен в 2026 году
12%
Уэс Стритинг
10%
Анджела Рейнэр
10%
Эд Милибэнд
7%
Ал Карнс
3%
Найджел Фараж
1%
Иветт Купер
1%
Шабана Махмуд
1%
Люси Пауэлл
<1%
Руперт Лоу
<1%
Рэйчел Ривз
<1%
Кеми Баденох
<1%
Борис Джонсон
<1%
Эд Дейви
<1%
Бриджет Филипсон
<1%
Роберт Дженрик
<1%
Дэвид Лемми
<1%
Джеймс Клеверли
<1%
Даррен Джонс
<1%
Джон Хили
<1%
Энди Бёрнем 56.8%
Новый премьер-министр не будет назначен в 2026 году 12%
Уэс Стритинг 10%
Анджела Рейнэр 10%
$7,293,747 Объем
$7,293,747 Объем
Энди Бёрнем
57%
Новый премьер-министр не будет назначен в 2026 году
12%
Уэс Стритинг
10%
Анджела Рейнэр
10%
Эд Милибэнд
7%
Ал Карнс
3%
Найджел Фараж
1%
Иветт Купер
1%
Шабана Махмуд
1%
Люси Пауэлл
<1%
Руперт Лоу
<1%
Рэйчел Ривз
<1%
Кеми Баденох
<1%
Борис Джонсон
<1%
Эд Дейви
<1%
Бриджет Филипсон
<1%
Роберт Дженрик
<1%
Дэвид Лемми
<1%
Джеймс Клеверли
<1%
Даррен Джонс
<1%
Джон Хили
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent poor performance by Labour in local elections has intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting senior MPs and cabinet figures to call for his resignation and opening a potential leadership contest within the party. Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has emerged as the frontrunner after securing Labour's approval to contest a by-election in Makerfield, a step that would allow him to return to Parliament and mount a challenge. Other potential contenders, including former Health Secretary Wes Streeting and Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, have also positioned themselves amid the uncertainty. Traders appear to view Burnham's strong polling among party members and his established regional profile as key advantages in any contest before the autumn conference. The timeline hinges on the outcome of the June by-election and whether Starmer steps aside voluntarily or faces a formal vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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