The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei in February 2026 opened Nevada's 2nd congressional district, triggering a crowded GOP primary with 13 candidates ahead of the June 9 vote and drawing multiple Democratic challengers seeking an upset. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent victories by wide margins and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solidly Republican, underpins the 73.5 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election. Traders appear to weigh the open-seat dynamics and potential national headwinds against the area's voting patterns and structural advantages for the party that has held it for decades, leaving Democrats at 23.5 percent despite efforts to mobilize in northern Nevada strongholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNV-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NV-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$13,676 Объем
$13,676 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
74%
Демократическая партия
24%
$13,676 Объем
$13,676 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$10,317 Объем
74%
Демократическая партия
$3,359 Объем
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei in February 2026 opened Nevada's 2nd congressional district, triggering a crowded GOP primary with 13 candidates ahead of the June 9 vote and drawing multiple Democratic challengers seeking an upset. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent victories by wide margins and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solidly Republican, underpins the 73.5 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election. Traders appear to weigh the open-seat dynamics and potential national headwinds against the area's voting patterns and structural advantages for the party that has held it for decades, leaving Democrats at 23.5 percent despite efforts to mobilize in northern Nevada strongholds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$13,676Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei in February 2026 opened Nevada's 2nd congressional district, triggering a crowded GOP primary with 13 candidates ahead of the June 9 vote and drawing multiple Democratic challengers seeking an upset. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent victories by wide margins and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solidly Republican, underpins the 73.5 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election. Traders appear to weigh the open-seat dynamics and potential national headwinds against the area's voting patterns and structural advantages for the party that has held it for decades, leaving Democrats at 23.5 percent despite efforts to mobilize in northern Nevada strongholds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$13,676Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei in February 2026 opened Nevada's 2nd congressional district, triggering a crowded GOP primary with 13 candidates ahead of the June 9 vote and drawing multiple Democratic challengers seeking an upset. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent victories by wide margins and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solidly Republican, underpins the 73.5 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election. Traders appear to weigh the open-seat dynamics and potential national headwinds against the area's voting patterns and structural advantages for the party that has held it for decades, leaving Democrats at 23.5 percent despite efforts to mobilize in northern Nevada strongholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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