The solidly Republican character of Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Mark Amodei’s retirement, anchors trader expectations for Republican David Flippo. Flippo secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with President Trump’s late endorsement, defeating the candidate backed by Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei. Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson won her primary comfortably. Most nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history. A late August Democratic poll showed the contest within the margin of error, yet broader forecasting models and fundraising edges favor Flippo. Current market pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and candidate-specific factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNV-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NV-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$31,140 Объем
$31,140 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дэвид Флиппо (Р)
75%
Тереза Бенитес-Томпсон (Д)
25%
$31,140 Объем
$31,140 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дэвид Флиппо (Р)
$16,119 Объем
75%
Тереза Бенитес-Томпсон (Д)
$15,022 Объем
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Mark Amodei’s retirement, anchors trader expectations for Republican David Flippo. Flippo secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with President Trump’s late endorsement, defeating the candidate backed by Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei. Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson won her primary comfortably. Most nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history. A late August Democratic poll showed the contest within the margin of error, yet broader forecasting models and fundraising edges favor Flippo. Current market pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and candidate-specific factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$31,140Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Mark Amodei’s retirement, anchors trader expectations for Republican David Flippo. Flippo secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with President Trump’s late endorsement, defeating the candidate backed by Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei. Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson won her primary comfortably. Most nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history. A late August Democratic poll showed the contest within the margin of error, yet broader forecasting models and fundraising edges favor Flippo. Current market pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and candidate-specific factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$31,140Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Mark Amodei’s retirement, anchors trader expectations for Republican David Flippo. Flippo secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with President Trump’s late endorsement, defeating the candidate backed by Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei. Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson won her primary comfortably. Most nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history. A late August Democratic poll showed the contest within the margin of error, yet broader forecasting models and fundraising edges favor Flippo. Current market pricing reflects trader assessment of these structural and candidate-specific factors ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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