Missouri's 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan voter index of D+29 and consistent general election margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured 75.9% of the vote in 2024, and all major forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of the August 4 primary outcome between Bell and former Representative Cori Bush. Limited Republican candidate filings and fundraising underscore the absence of viable general election opposition. Redistricting litigation has preserved the district's core boundaries and demographic composition for this cycle. The only realistic paths to a Republican victory would require an extraordinary national political realignment or an unforeseen disqualifying event for the Democratic nominee after the primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMO-01 House Election Winner
MO-01 House Election Winner
$31,242 Объем
$31,242 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
2%
$31,242 Объем
$31,242 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
$17,869 Объем
94%
Republican Party
$13,372 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan voter index of D+29 and consistent general election margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured 75.9% of the vote in 2024, and all major forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of the August 4 primary outcome between Bell and former Representative Cori Bush. Limited Republican candidate filings and fundraising underscore the absence of viable general election opposition. Redistricting litigation has preserved the district's core boundaries and demographic composition for this cycle. The only realistic paths to a Republican victory would require an extraordinary national political realignment or an unforeseen disqualifying event for the Democratic nominee after the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$31,242Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan voter index of D+29 and consistent general election margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured 75.9% of the vote in 2024, and all major forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of the August 4 primary outcome between Bell and former Representative Cori Bush. Limited Republican candidate filings and fundraising underscore the absence of viable general election opposition. Redistricting litigation has preserved the district's core boundaries and demographic composition for this cycle. The only realistic paths to a Republican victory would require an extraordinary national political realignment or an unforeseen disqualifying event for the Democratic nominee after the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$31,242Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan voter index of D+29 and consistent general election margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured 75.9% of the vote in 2024, and all major forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of the August 4 primary outcome between Bell and former Representative Cori Bush. Limited Republican candidate filings and fundraising underscore the absence of viable general election opposition. Redistricting litigation has preserved the district's core boundaries and demographic composition for this cycle. The only realistic paths to a Republican victory would require an extraordinary national political realignment or an unforeseen disqualifying event for the Democratic nominee after the primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы