Republican incumbent Clay Fuller, who decisively won the April 7, 2026, special runoff election by a wide margin against Democrat Shawn Harris, bolsters trader consensus at 92% implied probability for a GOP victory in the full-term GA-14 House race. This deeply Republican northwest Georgia district, historically a safe seat with strong conservative leanings, favors Fuller's incumbency advantage as the May 19 Republican primary approaches with no credible challengers emerging. Recent low Democratic turnout in the special election underscores limited opposition strength. While scenarios like a primary upset, personal scandal on Fuller, or an overwhelming national Democratic wave could shift odds, such developments remain improbable given the district's partisan baseline and Fuller's momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей GA-14
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей GA-14
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$3,607 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$1,689 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Clay Fuller, who decisively won the April 7, 2026, special runoff election by a wide margin against Democrat Shawn Harris, bolsters trader consensus at 92% implied probability for a GOP victory in the full-term GA-14 House race. This deeply Republican northwest Georgia district, historically a safe seat with strong conservative leanings, favors Fuller's incumbency advantage as the May 19 Republican primary approaches with no credible challengers emerging. Recent low Democratic turnout in the special election underscores limited opposition strength. While scenarios like a primary upset, personal scandal on Fuller, or an overwhelming national Democratic wave could shift odds, such developments remain improbable given the district's partisan baseline and Fuller's momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$5,297Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Clay Fuller, who decisively won the April 7, 2026, special runoff election by a wide margin against Democrat Shawn Harris, bolsters trader consensus at 92% implied probability for a GOP victory in the full-term GA-14 House race. This deeply Republican northwest Georgia district, historically a safe seat with strong conservative leanings, favors Fuller's incumbency advantage as the May 19 Republican primary approaches with no credible challengers emerging. Recent low Democratic turnout in the special election underscores limited opposition strength. While scenarios like a primary upset, personal scandal on Fuller, or an overwhelming national Democratic wave could shift odds, such developments remain improbable given the district's partisan baseline and Fuller's momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$5,297Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Clay Fuller, who decisively won the April 7, 2026, special runoff election by a wide margin against Democrat Shawn Harris, bolsters trader consensus at 92% implied probability for a GOP victory in the full-term GA-14 House race. This deeply Republican northwest Georgia district, historically a safe seat with strong conservative leanings, favors Fuller's incumbency advantage as the May 19 Republican primary approaches with no credible challengers emerging. Recent low Democratic turnout in the special election underscores limited opposition strength. While scenarios like a primary upset, personal scandal on Fuller, or an overwhelming national Democratic wave could shift odds, such developments remain improbable given the district's partisan baseline and Fuller's momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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