Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured renomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary for Arizona’s 9th congressional district, facing Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Gosar’s established electoral record. With both major-party nominees advancing unopposed and no significant primary challenges or recent polling shifts, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a commanding lead. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAZ-09 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AZ-09 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$25,588 Объем
$25,588 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
95%
Демократическая партия
4%
$25,588 Объем
$25,588 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$10,146 Объем
95%
Демократическая партия
$15,442 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured renomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary for Arizona’s 9th congressional district, facing Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Gosar’s established electoral record. With both major-party nominees advancing unopposed and no significant primary challenges or recent polling shifts, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a commanding lead. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$25,588Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured renomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary for Arizona’s 9th congressional district, facing Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Gosar’s established electoral record. With both major-party nominees advancing unopposed and no significant primary challenges or recent polling shifts, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a commanding lead. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$25,588Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured renomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary for Arizona’s 9th congressional district, facing Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Gosar’s established electoral record. With both major-party nominees advancing unopposed and no significant primary challenges or recent polling shifts, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party a commanding lead. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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