Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s established posting rhythm on the @NYCMayor account positions the 20-39 range as the clear market leader at 82.5 percent implied probability. Since taking office in January 2026, the mayor has maintained a steady two-to-five posts per day pace on X, producing weekly totals that consistently fall inside this band. Recent policy rollouts, including the May 12 executive budget and May 13 affordable-housing reforms, have not altered that baseline cadence. With no major announcements, legislative deadlines, or high-profile events scheduled for May 19-26, traders see little reason for volume to spike above 39 or drop below 20. The current consensus reflects observed patterns rather than any anticipated disruption.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМэр Нью-Йорка # Posts 19 мая - 26 мая 2026 года?
Мэр Нью-Йорка # Posts 19 мая - 26 мая 2026 года?
20-39 82.5%
<20 11%
40-59 2.1%
60-79 <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 мая 2026 г.
<20
11%
20-39
83%
40-59
2%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
20-39 82.5%
<20 11%
40-59 2.1%
60-79 <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 мая 2026 г.
<20
$36 Объем
11%
20-39
$50 Объем
83%
40-59
$138 Объем
2%
60-79
$30 Объем
1%
80-99
$50 Объем
1%
100-119
$169 Объем
<1%
120-139
$154 Объем
<1%
140-159
$154 Объем
<1%
160-179
$159 Объем
<1%
180-199
$164 Объем
<1%
200+
$254 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s established posting rhythm on the @NYCMayor account positions the 20-39 range as the clear market leader at 82.5 percent implied probability. Since taking office in January 2026, the mayor has maintained a steady two-to-five posts per day pace on X, producing weekly totals that consistently fall inside this band. Recent policy rollouts, including the May 12 executive budget and May 13 affordable-housing reforms, have not altered that baseline cadence. With no major announcements, legislative deadlines, or high-profile events scheduled for May 19-26, traders see little reason for volume to spike above 39 or drop below 20. The current consensus reflects observed patterns rather than any anticipated disruption.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Объем
$1,357Дата окончания
26 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/NYCMayorThis market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s established posting rhythm on the @NYCMayor account positions the 20-39 range as the clear market leader at 82.5 percent implied probability. Since taking office in January 2026, the mayor has maintained a steady two-to-five posts per day pace on X, producing weekly totals that consistently fall inside this band. Recent policy rollouts, including the May 12 executive budget and May 13 affordable-housing reforms, have not altered that baseline cadence. With no major announcements, legislative deadlines, or high-profile events scheduled for May 19-26, traders see little reason for volume to spike above 39 or drop below 20. The current consensus reflects observed patterns rather than any anticipated disruption.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$1,357Дата окончания
26 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/NYCMayorMayor Zohran Mamdani’s established posting rhythm on the @NYCMayor account positions the 20-39 range as the clear market leader at 82.5 percent implied probability. Since taking office in January 2026, the mayor has maintained a steady two-to-five posts per day pace on X, producing weekly totals that consistently fall inside this band. Recent policy rollouts, including the May 12 executive budget and May 13 affordable-housing reforms, have not altered that baseline cadence. With no major announcements, legislative deadlines, or high-profile events scheduled for May 19-26, traders see little reason for volume to spike above 39 or drop below 20. The current consensus reflects observed patterns rather than any anticipated disruption.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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