OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 8, 2026, combined with its March 2026 private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. Market-implied odds currently price the strongest probability on outcomes above $1.5 trillion, reflecting expectations that AI-driven revenue momentum—now exceeding a $25 billion annualized run rate—will command a public-market premium despite projected cash burn above $25 billion in 2026 and breakeven not anticipated before 2029–2030. Recent legal resolution with Elon Musk and banker preparations for a potential September or late-2026 debut further support elevated valuations, though high execution risk and sector volatility could moderate the outcome relative to private benchmarks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,5Т+ 29.4%
1,25–1,5 трлн 21%
1–1,25 трлн 16.1%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 14%
$45,084 Объем
$45,084 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
2%
500–750 млрд
5%
750 млрд – 1 трлн
13%
1–1,25 трлн
16%
1,25–1,5 трлн
21%
1,5Т+
29%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
14%
1,5Т+ 29.4%
1,25–1,5 трлн 21%
1–1,25 трлн 16.1%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 14%
$45,084 Объем
$45,084 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
$1,985 Объем
2%
500–750 млрд
$3,605 Объем
5%
750 млрд – 1 трлн
$3,346 Объем
13%
1–1,25 трлн
$7,483 Объем
16%
1,25–1,5 трлн
$3,516 Объем
21%
1,5Т+
$9,818 Объем
29%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
$15,331 Объем
14%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 8, 2026, combined with its March 2026 private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. Market-implied odds currently price the strongest probability on outcomes above $1.5 trillion, reflecting expectations that AI-driven revenue momentum—now exceeding a $25 billion annualized run rate—will command a public-market premium despite projected cash burn above $25 billion in 2026 and breakeven not anticipated before 2029–2030. Recent legal resolution with Elon Musk and banker preparations for a potential September or late-2026 debut further support elevated valuations, though high execution risk and sector volatility could moderate the outcome relative to private benchmarks.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Объем
$45,084Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 8, 2026, combined with its March 2026 private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. Market-implied odds currently price the strongest probability on outcomes above $1.5 trillion, reflecting expectations that AI-driven revenue momentum—now exceeding a $25 billion annualized run rate—will command a public-market premium despite projected cash burn above $25 billion in 2026 and breakeven not anticipated before 2029–2030. Recent legal resolution with Elon Musk and banker preparations for a potential September or late-2026 debut further support elevated valuations, though high execution risk and sector volatility could moderate the outcome relative to private benchmarks.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$45,084Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 8, 2026, combined with its March 2026 private funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader sentiment for the IPO closing market cap. Market-implied odds currently price the strongest probability on outcomes above $1.5 trillion, reflecting expectations that AI-driven revenue momentum—now exceeding a $25 billion annualized run rate—will command a public-market premium despite projected cash burn above $25 billion in 2026 and breakeven not anticipated before 2029–2030. Recent legal resolution with Elon Musk and banker preparations for a potential September or late-2026 debut further support elevated valuations, though high execution risk and sector volatility could moderate the outcome relative to private benchmarks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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