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icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$664,525 Объем

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$664,525 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Secretary Hegseth remains fully engaged in his confirmed role, directing Pentagon contract reforms, military personnel reductions in Europe, and the administration's fiscal year 2027 defense budget while testifying before Congress on Iran policy in mid-May 2026. These visible actions, combined with the lack of any public statements, Senate pressure, or executive signals pointing to a departure within the next two weeks, underpin the near-certain trader view that he will continue through May 31. Only an abrupt development such as a sudden health event, major scandal, or direct presidential decision could alter the outcome before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$664,525
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Secretary Hegseth remains fully engaged in his confirmed role, directing Pentagon contract reforms, military personnel reductions in Europe, and the administration's fiscal year 2027 defense budget while testifying before Congress on Iran policy in mid-May 2026. These visible actions, combined with the lack of any public statements, Senate pressure, or executive signals pointing to a departure within the next two weeks, underpin the near-certain trader view that he will continue through May 31. Only an abrupt development such as a sudden health event, major scandal, or direct presidential decision could alter the outcome before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$664,525
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 1% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 1¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 1%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $664.5K с момента запуска рынка Apr 27, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?» составляет 1% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.