Incumbent Democratic Governor Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes by 34 points in the latest University of New Hampshire poll from April 23, signaling a likely Foulkes nomination in the September 8 primary amid McKee's low approval ratings tied to infrastructure issues like the Washington Bridge crisis. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrat reflects Rhode Island's deep-blue partisan lean—Democrats hold a 4:1 registration edge and have won recent gubernatorial races by double digits—coupled with a thin Republican bench featuring lesser-known candidates like Aaron Guckian and Robert Raimondo. Independents like Ken Block trail in internals. Upsets could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, nominee scandal, or national Republican midterm wave, though historical base rates favor Democratic retention.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Род-Айленда
Победитель выборов губернатора Род-Айленда
Демократ 94%
Республиканец 4.1%
Независимый 1.4%
$50,984 Объем
$50,984 Объем

Демократ
94%

Республиканец
4%

Независимый
1%
Демократ 94%
Республиканец 4.1%
Независимый 1.4%
$50,984 Объем
$50,984 Объем

Демократ
94%

Республиканец
4%

Независимый
1%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes by 34 points in the latest University of New Hampshire poll from April 23, signaling a likely Foulkes nomination in the September 8 primary amid McKee's low approval ratings tied to infrastructure issues like the Washington Bridge crisis. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrat reflects Rhode Island's deep-blue partisan lean—Democrats hold a 4:1 registration edge and have won recent gubernatorial races by double digits—coupled with a thin Republican bench featuring lesser-known candidates like Aaron Guckian and Robert Raimondo. Independents like Ken Block trail in internals. Upsets could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, nominee scandal, or national Republican midterm wave, though historical base rates favor Democratic retention.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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