**President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early parliamentary elections later that year has driven the high implied probability for a vote before 2027.** Persistent student-led protests, sparked by the November 2024 Novi Sad railway station collapse that killed 16 people, have sustained pressure for snap elections and greater accountability since late 2024. Vučić subsequently named October 18 or 25, 2026, as the likely dates, with recent reports confirming preparations for a 25 October poll, including expected dissolution of the National Assembly in the coming days. This aligns with Serbia’s pattern of early parliamentary votes under the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) since 2012 and precedes the originally scheduled end-2027 mandate. The consensus reflects these confirmed procedural steps and public statements rather than speculation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПарламентские выборы в Сербии назначены до 2027 года?
Парламентские выборы в Сербии назначены до 2027 года?
Да
92% вероятность
$43,434 Объем
$43,434 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
92% вероятность
$43,434 Объем
$43,434 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early parliamentary elections later that year has driven the high implied probability for a vote before 2027.** Persistent student-led protests, sparked by the November 2024 Novi Sad railway station collapse that killed 16 people, have sustained pressure for snap elections and greater accountability since late 2024. Vučić subsequently named October 18 or 25, 2026, as the likely dates, with recent reports confirming preparations for a 25 October poll, including expected dissolution of the National Assembly in the coming days. This aligns with Serbia’s pattern of early parliamentary votes under the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) since 2012 and precedes the originally scheduled end-2027 mandate. The consensus reflects these confirmed procedural steps and public statements rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$43,434Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early parliamentary elections later that year has driven the high implied probability for a vote before 2027.** Persistent student-led protests, sparked by the November 2024 Novi Sad railway station collapse that killed 16 people, have sustained pressure for snap elections and greater accountability since late 2024. Vučić subsequently named October 18 or 25, 2026, as the likely dates, with recent reports confirming preparations for a 25 October poll, including expected dissolution of the National Assembly in the coming days. This aligns with Serbia’s pattern of early parliamentary votes under the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) since 2012 and precedes the originally scheduled end-2027 mandate. The consensus reflects these confirmed procedural steps and public statements rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$43,434Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early parliamentary elections later that year has driven the high implied probability for a vote before 2027.** Persistent student-led protests, sparked by the November 2024 Novi Sad railway station collapse that killed 16 people, have sustained pressure for snap elections and greater accountability since late 2024. Vučić subsequently named October 18 or 25, 2026, as the likely dates, with recent reports confirming preparations for a 25 October poll, including expected dissolution of the National Assembly in the coming days. This aligns with Serbia’s pattern of early parliamentary votes under the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) since 2012 and precedes the originally scheduled end-2027 mandate. The consensus reflects these confirmed procedural steps and public statements rather than speculation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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