Recent House passage of the Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026 restricts new individual stock purchases by members of Congress, spouses, and dependents but permits retention of existing holdings and conditional sales, falling short of a comprehensive trading prohibition. The 232-198 vote exposed partisan divisions, with limited Democratic backing due to concerns over scope, and the measure now awaits Senate action amid stalled companion bills like S.1879 and competing legislative priorities. These procedural and political barriers, combined with the absence of a clear path to floor consideration or enactment by year-end, sustain trader consensus that no qualifying ban will clear both chambers and reach the president before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
9% вероятность
$19,677 Объем
$19,677 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
9% вероятность
$19,677 Объем
$19,677 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Recent House passage of the Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026 restricts new individual stock purchases by members of Congress, spouses, and dependents but permits retention of existing holdings and conditional sales, falling short of a comprehensive trading prohibition. The 232-198 vote exposed partisan divisions, with limited Democratic backing due to concerns over scope, and the measure now awaits Senate action amid stalled companion bills like S.1879 and competing legislative priorities. These procedural and political barriers, combined with the absence of a clear path to floor consideration or enactment by year-end, sustain trader consensus that no qualifying ban will clear both chambers and reach the president before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Объем
$19,677Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Recent House passage of the Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026 restricts new individual stock purchases by members of Congress, spouses, and dependents but permits retention of existing holdings and conditional sales, falling short of a comprehensive trading prohibition. The 232-198 vote exposed partisan divisions, with limited Democratic backing due to concerns over scope, and the measure now awaits Senate action amid stalled companion bills like S.1879 and competing legislative priorities. These procedural and political barriers, combined with the absence of a clear path to floor consideration or enactment by year-end, sustain trader consensus that no qualifying ban will clear both chambers and reach the president before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$19,677Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent House passage of the Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026 restricts new individual stock purchases by members of Congress, spouses, and dependents but permits retention of existing holdings and conditional sales, falling short of a comprehensive trading prohibition. The 232-198 vote exposed partisan divisions, with limited Democratic backing due to concerns over scope, and the measure now awaits Senate action amid stalled companion bills like S.1879 and competing legislative priorities. These procedural and political barriers, combined with the absence of a clear path to floor consideration or enactment by year-end, sustain trader consensus that no qualifying ban will clear both chambers and reach the president before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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