Bipartisan legislation targeting congressional stock trading has advanced unevenly in the 119th Congress, with House Republicans marking up the Stop Insider Trading Act in January 2026 to prohibit new purchases by members and their families while allowing continued ownership and sales. Senate companion measures introduced in March have seen no committee action, and leadership has not scheduled floor consideration for stricter versions that would force divestiture. With midterms approaching and other priorities dominating the calendar, prospects for enacting a comprehensive ban before 2027 remain limited, sustaining trader consensus at an 86 percent implied probability against passage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$17,539 Объем
$17,539 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$17,539 Объем
$17,539 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Bipartisan legislation targeting congressional stock trading has advanced unevenly in the 119th Congress, with House Republicans marking up the Stop Insider Trading Act in January 2026 to prohibit new purchases by members and their families while allowing continued ownership and sales. Senate companion measures introduced in March have seen no committee action, and leadership has not scheduled floor consideration for stricter versions that would force divestiture. With midterms approaching and other priorities dominating the calendar, prospects for enacting a comprehensive ban before 2027 remain limited, sustaining trader consensus at an 86 percent implied probability against passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Объем
$17,539Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Bipartisan legislation targeting congressional stock trading has advanced unevenly in the 119th Congress, with House Republicans marking up the Stop Insider Trading Act in January 2026 to prohibit new purchases by members and their families while allowing continued ownership and sales. Senate companion measures introduced in March have seen no committee action, and leadership has not scheduled floor consideration for stricter versions that would force divestiture. With midterms approaching and other priorities dominating the calendar, prospects for enacting a comprehensive ban before 2027 remain limited, sustaining trader consensus at an 86 percent implied probability against passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$17,539Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan legislation targeting congressional stock trading has advanced unevenly in the 119th Congress, with House Republicans marking up the Stop Insider Trading Act in January 2026 to prohibit new purchases by members and their families while allowing continued ownership and sales. Senate companion measures introduced in March have seen no committee action, and leadership has not scheduled floor consideration for stricter versions that would force divestiture. With midterms approaching and other priorities dominating the calendar, prospects for enacting a comprehensive ban before 2027 remain limited, sustaining trader consensus at an 86 percent implied probability against passage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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