Kareem Allam leads Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral race as the Vancouver Liberals nominee and former chief of staff to incumbent Ken Sim, with traders assigning him a 41.5% implied probability amid a fragmented field. Progressive parties including the Greens, COPE, and OneCity formalized a candidate-limiting agreement in mid-April to reduce vote splitting on the left, while Sim seeks re-election under ABC Vancouver after his 2022 majority. Allam's bid draws support from voters seeking change from the current administration, yet Sim retains a base among those favoring continuity on housing and development issues. The presence of additional contenders such as Pete Fry and Rebecca Bligh keeps the outcome fluid, with any consolidation of progressive or moderate support likely to shift trader consensus before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКарим Аллам 42%
Кен Сим 34%
Пит Фрай 15.3%
Уильям Азарофф 5.2%
$67,306 Объем
$67,306 Объем
Карим Аллам
42%
Кен Сим
34%
Пит Фрай
15%
Уильям Азарофф
5%
Колин Хардуик
2%
Джон Купар
2%
Ребекка Блай
1%
Шон Орр
1%
Тим Луис
<1%
Аманда Бэрроуз
<1%
Кирк ЛаПойнт
<1%
Фред Хардинг
<1%
Карим Аллам 42%
Кен Сим 34%
Пит Фрай 15.3%
Уильям Азарофф 5.2%
$67,306 Объем
$67,306 Объем
Карим Аллам
42%
Кен Сим
34%
Пит Фрай
15%
Уильям Азарофф
5%
Колин Хардуик
2%
Джон Купар
2%
Ребекка Блай
1%
Шон Орр
1%
Тим Луис
<1%
Аманда Бэрроуз
<1%
Кирк ЛаПойнт
<1%
Фред Хардинг
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kareem Allam leads Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral race as the Vancouver Liberals nominee and former chief of staff to incumbent Ken Sim, with traders assigning him a 41.5% implied probability amid a fragmented field. Progressive parties including the Greens, COPE, and OneCity formalized a candidate-limiting agreement in mid-April to reduce vote splitting on the left, while Sim seeks re-election under ABC Vancouver after his 2022 majority. Allam's bid draws support from voters seeking change from the current administration, yet Sim retains a base among those favoring continuity on housing and development issues. The presence of additional contenders such as Pete Fry and Rebecca Bligh keeps the outcome fluid, with any consolidation of progressive or moderate support likely to shift trader consensus before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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