SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and recent reports targeting a $1.75 trillion to over $2 trillion IPO valuation in June 2026 represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment, with the 1.75-2.00T outcome holding a 60.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects expectations of robust Starlink subscriber growth and Starship flight-rate ambitions supporting revenue expansion from the prior $800 billion private valuation, though elevated price-to-sales multiples above 100x on estimated 2025 figures introduce valuation risk. Secondary bids on the 2.00-2.25T tranche at 24% capture optimism around potential AI data-center initiatives, while the 1.50-1.75T range at 21.2% accounts for possible market-condition adjustments or regulatory scrutiny ahead of the roadshow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
1,75–2,00 трлн 61%
2,25–2,50 трлн 7.7%
2,50T+ 5.5%
1,50-1,75 трлн 5.0%
$133,671 Объем
$133,671 Объем
<1,25 трлн
1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
4%
1,50-1,75 трлн
21%
1,75–2,00 трлн
59%
2,00–2,25 трлн
24%
2,25–2,50 трлн
8%
2,50T+
5%
1,75–2,00 трлн 61%
2,25–2,50 трлн 7.7%
2,50T+ 5.5%
1,50-1,75 трлн 5.0%
$133,671 Объем
$133,671 Объем
<1,25 трлн
$60,323 Объем
1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
$16,039 Объем
4%
1,50-1,75 трлн
$9,240 Объем
21%
1,75–2,00 трлн
$12,949 Объем
59%
2,00–2,25 трлн
$14,286 Объем
24%
2,25–2,50 трлн
$10,055 Объем
8%
2,50T+
$10,779 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and recent reports targeting a $1.75 trillion to over $2 trillion IPO valuation in June 2026 represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment, with the 1.75-2.00T outcome holding a 60.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects expectations of robust Starlink subscriber growth and Starship flight-rate ambitions supporting revenue expansion from the prior $800 billion private valuation, though elevated price-to-sales multiples above 100x on estimated 2025 figures introduce valuation risk. Secondary bids on the 2.00-2.25T tranche at 24% capture optimism around potential AI data-center initiatives, while the 1.50-1.75T range at 21.2% accounts for possible market-condition adjustments or regulatory scrutiny ahead of the roadshow.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Объем
$133,671Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and recent reports targeting a $1.75 trillion to over $2 trillion IPO valuation in June 2026 represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment, with the 1.75-2.00T outcome holding a 60.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects expectations of robust Starlink subscriber growth and Starship flight-rate ambitions supporting revenue expansion from the prior $800 billion private valuation, though elevated price-to-sales multiples above 100x on estimated 2025 figures introduce valuation risk. Secondary bids on the 2.00-2.25T tranche at 24% capture optimism around potential AI data-center initiatives, while the 1.50-1.75T range at 21.2% accounts for possible market-condition adjustments or regulatory scrutiny ahead of the roadshow.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$133,671Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and recent reports targeting a $1.75 trillion to over $2 trillion IPO valuation in June 2026 represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader sentiment, with the 1.75-2.00T outcome holding a 60.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects expectations of robust Starlink subscriber growth and Starship flight-rate ambitions supporting revenue expansion from the prior $800 billion private valuation, though elevated price-to-sales multiples above 100x on estimated 2025 figures introduce valuation risk. Secondary bids on the 2.00-2.25T tranche at 24% capture optimism around potential AI data-center initiatives, while the 1.50-1.75T range at 21.2% accounts for possible market-condition adjustments or regulatory scrutiny ahead of the roadshow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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