The Trump administration has accelerated direct equity investments in private companies as part of an industrial policy emphasizing national security and supply-chain resilience in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense manufacturing. Since January 2025, federal agencies including the Departments of Commerce and Defense have completed at least sixteen deals totaling over $20 billion, converting prior grants or loans into ownership stakes or warrants in firms such as Intel, MP Materials, U.S. Steel, USA Rare Earth, and Trilogy Metals. These transactions often include purchase commitments or governance rights to secure domestic production capacity. Traders are monitoring legislative efforts to expand the Defense Production Act and upcoming agency announcements that could target additional chipmakers, rare-earth processors, or AI infrastructure providers before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$83,024 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Anduril
32%
Boeing
24%
TSMC
15%
OpenAI
13%
Palantir
17%
Nvidia
11%
GlobalFoundries
22%
Lockheed Martin
20%
TikTok US / Bytedance
16%
Freeport-McMoRan
19%
IonQ
20%
Micron
19%
D-Wave
22%
Anthropic
18%
Rigetti
29%
Eli Lilly
28%
Pfizer
29%
Samsung Electronics
20%
$83,024 Объем
Anduril
$39,524 Объем
32%
Boeing
$845 Объем
24%
TSMC
$411 Объем
15%
OpenAI
$1,150 Объем
13%
Palantir
$439 Объем
17%
Nvidia
$8,835 Объем
11%
GlobalFoundries
$896 Объем
22%
Lockheed Martin
$647 Объем
20%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$371 Объем
16%
Freeport-McMoRan
$616 Объем
19%
IonQ
$194 Объем
20%
Micron
$1,032 Объем
19%
D-Wave
$499 Объем
22%
Anthropic
$899 Объем
18%
Rigetti
$19,055 Объем
29%
Eli Lilly
$192 Объем
28%
Pfizer
$192 Объем
29%
Samsung Electronics
$7,226 Объем
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has accelerated direct equity investments in private companies as part of an industrial policy emphasizing national security and supply-chain resilience in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense manufacturing. Since January 2025, federal agencies including the Departments of Commerce and Defense have completed at least sixteen deals totaling over $20 billion, converting prior grants or loans into ownership stakes or warrants in firms such as Intel, MP Materials, U.S. Steel, USA Rare Earth, and Trilogy Metals. These transactions often include purchase commitments or governance rights to secure domestic production capacity. Traders are monitoring legislative efforts to expand the Defense Production Act and upcoming agency announcements that could target additional chipmakers, rare-earth processors, or AI infrastructure providers before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Объем
$83,024Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has accelerated direct equity investments in private companies as part of an industrial policy emphasizing national security and supply-chain resilience in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense manufacturing. Since January 2025, federal agencies including the Departments of Commerce and Defense have completed at least sixteen deals totaling over $20 billion, converting prior grants or loans into ownership stakes or warrants in firms such as Intel, MP Materials, U.S. Steel, USA Rare Earth, and Trilogy Metals. These transactions often include purchase commitments or governance rights to secure domestic production capacity. Traders are monitoring legislative efforts to expand the Defense Production Act and upcoming agency announcements that could target additional chipmakers, rare-earth processors, or AI infrastructure providers before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$83,024Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has accelerated direct equity investments in private companies as part of an industrial policy emphasizing national security and supply-chain resilience in semiconductors, critical minerals, and defense manufacturing. Since January 2025, federal agencies including the Departments of Commerce and Defense have completed at least sixteen deals totaling over $20 billion, converting prior grants or loans into ownership stakes or warrants in firms such as Intel, MP Materials, U.S. Steel, USA Rare Earth, and Trilogy Metals. These transactions often include purchase commitments or governance rights to secure domestic production capacity. Traders are monitoring legislative efforts to expand the Defense Production Act and upcoming agency announcements that could target additional chipmakers, rare-earth processors, or AI infrastructure providers before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы