US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that set a 60-day window for resolving nuclear and regional issues after a fragile April ceasefire and intermittent strikes. President Trump’s administration has signaled openness to renewed technical talks, including planned sessions in Doha, while Iranian officials have stated there are currently no active negotiations and rejected external timing. Recent prisoner releases and indirect signals from Tehran’s negotiators have kept limited channels open amid ongoing Strait of Hormuz disputes and sanctions relief discussions. Any high-level attendance by year-end would likely depend on breakthroughs in bilateral or mediated formats involving US and Iranian delegations before the December 31 cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$60,529 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Стив Виткофф
71%
Джаред Кушнер
73%
Мохаммад Багер Калибаф
65%
Аббас Аракчи
69%
Маджид Тахт-Раванчи
52%
Джей Ди Ванс
44%
Ник Стюарт
26%
Мохаммед бин Абдулрахман Аль Тани
27%
Рафаэль Гросси
42%
Ишак Дар
29%
Масуд Пезешкиан
38%
Марко Рубио
22%
Ахмад Вахиди
22%
Казем Гharibabadi
19%
Бадр бин Хамад Аль-Бусаиди
16%
Дональд Трамп
12%
Эсмаил Каани
12%
Пит Хегсет
6%
Моджтаба Хаменеи
5%
$60,529 Объем
Стив Виткофф
$974 Объем
71%
Джаред Кушнер
$930 Объем
73%
Мохаммад Багер Калибаф
$1,972 Объем
65%
Аббас Аракчи
$3,129 Объем
69%
Маджид Тахт-Раванчи
$1,580 Объем
52%
Джей Ди Ванс
$5,053 Объем
44%
Ник Стюарт
$687 Объем
26%
Мохаммед бин Абдулрахман Аль Тани
$5,229 Объем
27%
Рафаэль Гросси
$773 Объем
42%
Ишак Дар
$1,444 Объем
29%
Масуд Пезешкиан
$1,630 Объем
38%
Марко Рубио
$3,375 Объем
22%
Ахмад Вахиди
$1,064 Объем
22%
Казем Гharibabadi
$6,579 Объем
19%
Бадр бин Хамад Аль-Бусаиди
$1,597 Объем
16%
Дональд Трамп
$59 Объем
12%
Эсмаил Каани
$2,864 Объем
12%
Пит Хегсет
$2,478 Объем
6%
Моджтаба Хаменеи
$19,111 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that set a 60-day window for resolving nuclear and regional issues after a fragile April ceasefire and intermittent strikes. President Trump’s administration has signaled openness to renewed technical talks, including planned sessions in Doha, while Iranian officials have stated there are currently no active negotiations and rejected external timing. Recent prisoner releases and indirect signals from Tehran’s negotiators have kept limited channels open amid ongoing Strait of Hormuz disputes and sanctions relief discussions. Any high-level attendance by year-end would likely depend on breakthroughs in bilateral or mediated formats involving US and Iranian delegations before the December 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Объем
$60,529Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that set a 60-day window for resolving nuclear and regional issues after a fragile April ceasefire and intermittent strikes. President Trump’s administration has signaled openness to renewed technical talks, including planned sessions in Doha, while Iranian officials have stated there are currently no active negotiations and rejected external timing. Recent prisoner releases and indirect signals from Tehran’s negotiators have kept limited channels open amid ongoing Strait of Hormuz disputes and sanctions relief discussions. Any high-level attendance by year-end would likely depend on breakthroughs in bilateral or mediated formats involving US and Iranian delegations before the December 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$60,529Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that set a 60-day window for resolving nuclear and regional issues after a fragile April ceasefire and intermittent strikes. President Trump’s administration has signaled openness to renewed technical talks, including planned sessions in Doha, while Iranian officials have stated there are currently no active negotiations and rejected external timing. Recent prisoner releases and indirect signals from Tehran’s negotiators have kept limited channels open amid ongoing Strait of Hormuz disputes and sanctions relief discussions. Any high-level attendance by year-end would likely depend on breakthroughs in bilateral or mediated formats involving US and Iranian delegations before the December 31 cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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