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icon for Будет ли какая-либо страна высылать посла Израиля до 31 декабря?
Геополитика·Иран

Будет ли какая-либо страна высылать посла Израиля до 31 декабря?

icon for Будет ли какая-либо страна высылать посла Израиля до 31 декабря?
Геополитика·Иран

Будет ли какая-либо страна высылать посла Израиля до 31 декабря?

Да

16% вероятность
Polymarket

$42,546 Объем

Да

16% вероятность
Polymarket

$42,546 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify. For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe. Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity. Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic relations between Israel and most nations have remained stable without new expulsions of Israeli ambassadors since early 2026 incidents, such as South Africa's reciprocal action against a chargé d'affaires. Spain's March withdrawal of its own ambassador to Israel reflected bilateral tensions over regional conflicts but did not involve expelling Israel's envoy. Iran's March offers of incentives for such expulsions produced no follow-through from Arab or European states. With no major new diplomatic ruptures or official announcements in recent weeks, traders assess the risk of any country taking this step before year-end as low. Scheduled summits and ongoing multilateral talks on security issues have further supported continuity in ambassadorial postings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.

For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.

Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.

Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$42,546
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify. For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe. Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity. Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify. For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe. Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity. Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic relations between Israel and most nations have remained stable without new expulsions of Israeli ambassadors since early 2026 incidents, such as South Africa's reciprocal action against a chargé d'affaires. Spain's March withdrawal of its own ambassador to Israel reflected bilateral tensions over regional conflicts but did not involve expelling Israel's envoy. Iran's March offers of incentives for such expulsions produced no follow-through from Arab or European states. With no major new diplomatic ruptures or official announcements in recent weeks, traders assess the risk of any country taking this step before year-end as low. Scheduled summits and ongoing multilateral talks on security issues have further supported continuity in ambassadorial postings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.

For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.

Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.

Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$42,546
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify. For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe. Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity. Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Связанные

icon for Изгонит ли какая-либо страна посла США до 31 декабря?

Изгонит ли какая-либо страна посла США до 31 декабря?

26%
Да
icon for Признает ли Венесуэла Израиль к 31 декабря?

Признает ли Венесуэла Израиль к 31 декабря?

11%
Да
icon for Канада высылает посла США до 31 декабря?

Канада высылает посла США до 31 декабря?

5%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Будет ли какая-либо страна высылать посла Израиля до 31 декабря?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Вышлет ли какая-либо страна израильского посла до 31 декабря?» с 16%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 16¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 16%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Будет ли какая-либо страна высылать посла Израиля до 31 декабря?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $42.5K с момента запуска рынка Mar 31, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Будет ли какая-либо страна высылать посла Израиля до 31 декабря?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Будет ли какая-либо страна высылать посла Израиля до 31 декабря?» — «Вышлет ли какая-либо страна израильского посла до 31 декабря?» с 16%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 16%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Будет ли какая-либо страна высылать посла Израиля до 31 декабря?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.