Republican control of the House, with a slim majority holding firm against Democratic impeachment resolutions like H.Res.939 and H.Res.1155 introduced in recent months, drives the near-certain trader consensus that President Trump will not face impeachment by June 30. No articles have advanced past committee amid symbolic Democratic pushes and polls showing public support, but procedural hurdles and the compressed six-week timeline make House floor passage via simple majority vote implausible without extraordinary bipartisan defections. Recent GOP moves to expunge Trump's prior impeachments underscore partisan solidarity. While late-breaking scandals or legal developments could theoretically shift dynamics, historical precedents like rapid failed efforts highlight significant barriers, reflected in the 98.7% "No" implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$355,712 Объем
$355,712 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$355,712 Объем
$355,712 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, with a slim majority holding firm against Democratic impeachment resolutions like H.Res.939 and H.Res.1155 introduced in recent months, drives the near-certain trader consensus that President Trump will not face impeachment by June 30. No articles have advanced past committee amid symbolic Democratic pushes and polls showing public support, but procedural hurdles and the compressed six-week timeline make House floor passage via simple majority vote implausible without extraordinary bipartisan defections. Recent GOP moves to expunge Trump's prior impeachments underscore partisan solidarity. While late-breaking scandals or legal developments could theoretically shift dynamics, historical precedents like rapid failed efforts highlight significant barriers, reflected in the 98.7% "No" implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
Объем
$355,712Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House, with a slim majority holding firm against Democratic impeachment resolutions like H.Res.939 and H.Res.1155 introduced in recent months, drives the near-certain trader consensus that President Trump will not face impeachment by June 30. No articles have advanced past committee amid symbolic Democratic pushes and polls showing public support, but procedural hurdles and the compressed six-week timeline make House floor passage via simple majority vote implausible without extraordinary bipartisan defections. Recent GOP moves to expunge Trump's prior impeachments underscore partisan solidarity. While late-breaking scandals or legal developments could theoretically shift dynamics, historical precedents like rapid failed efforts highlight significant barriers, reflected in the 98.7% "No" implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Объем
$355,712Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House, with a slim majority holding firm against Democratic impeachment resolutions like H.Res.939 and H.Res.1155 introduced in recent months, drives the near-certain trader consensus that President Trump will not face impeachment by June 30. No articles have advanced past committee amid symbolic Democratic pushes and polls showing public support, but procedural hurdles and the compressed six-week timeline make House floor passage via simple majority vote implausible without extraordinary bipartisan defections. Recent GOP moves to expunge Trump's prior impeachments underscore partisan solidarity. While late-breaking scandals or legal developments could theoretically shift dynamics, historical precedents like rapid failed efforts highlight significant barriers, reflected in the 98.7% "No" implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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