Trump's long-standing pattern of using direct, confrontational language in public statements, social media posts, and campaign appearances continues to shape trader views on markets tied to his future remarks. As a former president and active political figure, his communications frequently target opponents, media outlets, or officials through pointed criticism that crosses into personal insults. Recent activity on Truth Social and at rallies has shown repeated instances of such rhetoric, keeping implied probabilities elevated for near-term occurrences. Scheduled events such as upcoming speeches, interviews, or policy announcements within the next several weeks could trigger additional examples, while any shift toward more restrained messaging would likely ease those odds. Traders weigh these patterns against historical precedent of his unfiltered style persisting across electoral cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$509,665 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
May 18
95%
May 19
94%
May 20
91%
May 21
90%
May 22
93%
May 23
91%
May 24
90%
May 25
91%
May 26
91%
May 27
89%
May 28
91%
May 29
91%
May 30
91%
May 31
90%
$509,665 Объем
May 18
$8,010 Объем
95%
May 19
$2,329 Объем
94%
May 20
$1,816 Объем
91%
May 21
$749 Объем
90%
May 22
$1,140 Объем
93%
May 23
$154 Объем
91%
May 24
$497 Объем
90%
May 25
$626 Объем
91%
May 26
$735 Объем
91%
May 27
$1,035 Объем
89%
May 28
$523 Объем
91%
May 29
$387 Объем
91%
May 30
$97 Объем
91%
May 31
$399 Объем
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's long-standing pattern of using direct, confrontational language in public statements, social media posts, and campaign appearances continues to shape trader views on markets tied to his future remarks. As a former president and active political figure, his communications frequently target opponents, media outlets, or officials through pointed criticism that crosses into personal insults. Recent activity on Truth Social and at rallies has shown repeated instances of such rhetoric, keeping implied probabilities elevated for near-term occurrences. Scheduled events such as upcoming speeches, interviews, or policy announcements within the next several weeks could trigger additional examples, while any shift toward more restrained messaging would likely ease those odds. Traders weigh these patterns against historical precedent of his unfiltered style persisting across electoral cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Объем
$509,665Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's long-standing pattern of using direct, confrontational language in public statements, social media posts, and campaign appearances continues to shape trader views on markets tied to his future remarks. As a former president and active political figure, his communications frequently target opponents, media outlets, or officials through pointed criticism that crosses into personal insults. Recent activity on Truth Social and at rallies has shown repeated instances of such rhetoric, keeping implied probabilities elevated for near-term occurrences. Scheduled events such as upcoming speeches, interviews, or policy announcements within the next several weeks could trigger additional examples, while any shift toward more restrained messaging would likely ease those odds. Traders weigh these patterns against historical precedent of his unfiltered style persisting across electoral cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$509,665Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Trump's long-standing pattern of using direct, confrontational language in public statements, social media posts, and campaign appearances continues to shape trader views on markets tied to his future remarks. As a former president and active political figure, his communications frequently target opponents, media outlets, or officials through pointed criticism that crosses into personal insults. Recent activity on Truth Social and at rallies has shown repeated instances of such rhetoric, keeping implied probabilities elevated for near-term occurrences. Scheduled events such as upcoming speeches, interviews, or policy announcements within the next several weeks could trigger additional examples, while any shift toward more restrained messaging would likely ease those odds. Traders weigh these patterns against historical precedent of his unfiltered style persisting across electoral cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы