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Будет ли Трамп публично оскорблять кого-то...?

icon for Будет ли Трамп публично оскорблять кого-то...?

Будет ли Трамп публично оскорблять кого-то...?

июн. 30

июн. 30

$1,706,992 Объем

30 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$1,706,992 Объем

Polymarket

28 июня

$5,528 Объем

84%

29 июня

$4,104 Объем

92%

30 июня

$2,612 Объем

91%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's established pattern of direct public criticism continues to shape trader views on date-specific insult markets.** As president in June 2026, he has repeatedly targeted foreign leaders during the ongoing G7 summit in France, including references to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney as “Governor” amid trade disputes and dismissals of UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer as lacking Churchill-like resolve over Iran policy differences. Similar exchanges have occurred with French President Emmanuel Macron and in Oval Office or press settings, where Trump has labeled journalists such as CNN’s Kaitlan Collins and NBC’s Kristen Welker in personal terms. These incidents align with his documented approach on social platforms and in public remarks. Markets reflect this baseline frequency, with traders monitoring scheduled press conferences, summit sessions, and social media activity for resolution triggers on specific dates. Historical volume on related Polymarket contracts underscores consistent engagement around such events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,706,992
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's established pattern of direct public criticism continues to shape trader views on date-specific insult markets.** As president in June 2026, he has repeatedly targeted foreign leaders during the ongoing G7 summit in France, including references to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney as “Governor” amid trade disputes and dismissals of UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer as lacking Churchill-like resolve over Iran policy differences. Similar exchanges have occurred with French President Emmanuel Macron and in Oval Office or press settings, where Trump has labeled journalists such as CNN’s Kaitlan Collins and NBC’s Kristen Welker in personal terms. These incidents align with his documented approach on social platforms and in public remarks. Markets reflect this baseline frequency, with traders monitoring scheduled press conferences, summit sessions, and social media activity for resolution triggers on specific dates. Historical volume on related Polymarket contracts underscores consistent engagement around such events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,706,992
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Будет ли Трамп публично оскорблять кого-то...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 29 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «2 июня» с 100%, за ним следует «3 июня» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Будет ли Трамп публично оскорблять кого-то...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.7 million с момента запуска рынка Jun 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Будет ли Трамп публично оскорблять кого-то...?», просмотри 29 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Будет ли Трамп публично оскорблять кого-то...?» — «2 июня» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «3 июня» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Будет ли Трамп публично оскорблять кого-то...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.