The stringent constitutional requirements for amending the 22nd Amendment—two-thirds approval in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of the states—drive overwhelming trader consensus that presidential term limits will not be repealed in 2026. No viable joint resolution advancing full repeal has advanced through the 119th Congress, and recent statements from President Trump have acknowledged the strength of existing limits rather than signaling imminent action. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 further compress any realistic legislative timeline before year-end. While isolated proposals to modify eligibility for nonconsecutive terms have surfaced, they lack the supermajorities needed for passage, and historical precedent shows constitutional changes of this scope rarely occur absent sustained bipartisan momentum across multiple sessions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
4% вероятность
$13,014 Объем
$13,014 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Да
4% вероятность
$13,014 Объем
$13,014 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The stringent constitutional requirements for amending the 22nd Amendment—two-thirds approval in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of the states—drive overwhelming trader consensus that presidential term limits will not be repealed in 2026. No viable joint resolution advancing full repeal has advanced through the 119th Congress, and recent statements from President Trump have acknowledged the strength of existing limits rather than signaling imminent action. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 further compress any realistic legislative timeline before year-end. While isolated proposals to modify eligibility for nonconsecutive terms have surfaced, they lack the supermajorities needed for passage, and historical precedent shows constitutional changes of this scope rarely occur absent sustained bipartisan momentum across multiple sessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Открытие рынка: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Объем
$13,014Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The stringent constitutional requirements for amending the 22nd Amendment—two-thirds approval in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of the states—drive overwhelming trader consensus that presidential term limits will not be repealed in 2026. No viable joint resolution advancing full repeal has advanced through the 119th Congress, and recent statements from President Trump have acknowledged the strength of existing limits rather than signaling imminent action. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 further compress any realistic legislative timeline before year-end. While isolated proposals to modify eligibility for nonconsecutive terms have surfaced, they lack the supermajorities needed for passage, and historical precedent shows constitutional changes of this scope rarely occur absent sustained bipartisan momentum across multiple sessions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Объем
$13,014Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The stringent constitutional requirements for amending the 22nd Amendment—two-thirds approval in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of the states—drive overwhelming trader consensus that presidential term limits will not be repealed in 2026. No viable joint resolution advancing full repeal has advanced through the 119th Congress, and recent statements from President Trump have acknowledged the strength of existing limits rather than signaling imminent action. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 further compress any realistic legislative timeline before year-end. While isolated proposals to modify eligibility for nonconsecutive terms have surfaced, they lack the supermajorities needed for passage, and historical precedent shows constitutional changes of this scope rarely occur absent sustained bipartisan momentum across multiple sessions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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