Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump completing his term without resigning by December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any credible official statements, impeachment threats, health crises, or scandals warranting departure in recent months. Trump has remained actively engaged, recently accepting the resignation of FDA Commissioner Marty Makary amid policy disputes over flavored vapes while preparing for a high-stakes trade summit with China's Xi Jinping. Historical precedent underscores the rarity of voluntary presidential resignations outside existential pressures like Nixon's Watergate, none of which have materialized. Midterm elections in November 2026 loom as a potential flashpoint, though current stability sustains the strong "No" pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$431,570 Объем
$431,570 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$431,570 Объем
$431,570 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump completing his term without resigning by December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any credible official statements, impeachment threats, health crises, or scandals warranting departure in recent months. Trump has remained actively engaged, recently accepting the resignation of FDA Commissioner Marty Makary amid policy disputes over flavored vapes while preparing for a high-stakes trade summit with China's Xi Jinping. Historical precedent underscores the rarity of voluntary presidential resignations outside existential pressures like Nixon's Watergate, none of which have materialized. Midterm elections in November 2026 loom as a potential flashpoint, though current stability sustains the strong "No" pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Объем
$431,570Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump completing his term without resigning by December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any credible official statements, impeachment threats, health crises, or scandals warranting departure in recent months. Trump has remained actively engaged, recently accepting the resignation of FDA Commissioner Marty Makary amid policy disputes over flavored vapes while preparing for a high-stakes trade summit with China's Xi Jinping. Historical precedent underscores the rarity of voluntary presidential resignations outside existential pressures like Nixon's Watergate, none of which have materialized. Midterm elections in November 2026 loom as a potential flashpoint, though current stability sustains the strong "No" pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$431,570Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump completing his term without resigning by December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any credible official statements, impeachment threats, health crises, or scandals warranting departure in recent months. Trump has remained actively engaged, recently accepting the resignation of FDA Commissioner Marty Makary amid policy disputes over flavored vapes while preparing for a high-stakes trade summit with China's Xi Jinping. Historical precedent underscores the rarity of voluntary presidential resignations outside existential pressures like Nixon's Watergate, none of which have materialized. Midterm elections in November 2026 loom as a potential flashpoint, though current stability sustains the strong "No" pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы