President Donald Trump's continued active engagement in White House duties, including recent threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell upon his term's end today and public appearances like his May 3 arrival at Doral for events, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 94.5% for resignation before 2027. Absent any official statements, health crises, or advancing impeachment efforts—despite symbolic Democratic resolutions in April lacking Senate traction—markets reflect low political or legal pressure to step down. High administration turnover, such as the acting ICE director's April exit, has not implicated the president. An upcoming late-May medical exam could introduce uncertainty, alongside tail risks from scandals or midterms, but historical incumbent patterns favor completion.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$17,430 Объем
$17,430 Объем
Да
$17,430 Объем
$17,430 Объем
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's continued active engagement in White House duties, including recent threats to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell upon his term's end today and public appearances like his May 3 arrival at Doral for events, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 94.5% for resignation before 2027. Absent any official statements, health crises, or advancing impeachment efforts—despite symbolic Democratic resolutions in April lacking Senate traction—markets reflect low political or legal pressure to step down. High administration turnover, such as the acting ICE director's April exit, has not implicated the president. An upcoming late-May medical exam could introduce uncertainty, alongside tail risks from scandals or midterms, but historical incumbent patterns favor completion.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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