Recent April consumer price data showing a 2.6% month-on-month rise, down from March’s 3.4%, has anchored trader expectations for continued moderation in May under Argentina’s tight monetary stance and stabilized peso. This supports the 62% market-implied probability on the 2.2–2.4% range as the leading outcome, reflecting subdued demand and limited pass-through from earlier energy adjustments. Analysts recently lifted their full-year 2026 inflation median to 30.5%, citing modest upside risks, yet monthly prints remain on a disinflation path toward multi-year lows. The INDEC release in early June will resolve the market, with any further central bank communications on rates serving as the next near-term catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArgentina Monthly Inflation - May
Argentina Monthly Inflation - May
2.2–2.4% 66%
2.5–2.7% 23%
≤2.1% 22%
2.8–3.0% 8%
$46,627 ปริมาณ
$46,627 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
22%
2.2–2.4%
57%
2.5–2.7%
23%
2.8–3.0%
8%
3.1–3.3%
7%
3.4–3.6%
5%
3.7–3.9%
5%
4.0%+
3%
2.2–2.4% 66%
2.5–2.7% 23%
≤2.1% 22%
2.8–3.0% 8%
$46,627 ปริมาณ
$46,627 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
$415 ปริมาณ
22%
2.2–2.4%
$46,077 ปริมาณ
57%
2.5–2.7%
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
2.8–3.0%
$50 ปริมาณ
8%
3.1–3.3%
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
3.4–3.6%
$1 ปริมาณ
5%
3.7–3.9%
$20 ปริมาณ
5%
4.0%+
$63 ปริมาณ
3%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent April consumer price data showing a 2.6% month-on-month rise, down from March’s 3.4%, has anchored trader expectations for continued moderation in May under Argentina’s tight monetary stance and stabilized peso. This supports the 62% market-implied probability on the 2.2–2.4% range as the leading outcome, reflecting subdued demand and limited pass-through from earlier energy adjustments. Analysts recently lifted their full-year 2026 inflation median to 30.5%, citing modest upside risks, yet monthly prints remain on a disinflation path toward multi-year lows. The INDEC release in early June will resolve the market, with any further central bank communications on rates serving as the next near-term catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,627วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent April consumer price data showing a 2.6% month-on-month rise, down from March’s 3.4%, has anchored trader expectations for continued moderation in May under Argentina’s tight monetary stance and stabilized peso. This supports the 62% market-implied probability on the 2.2–2.4% range as the leading outcome, reflecting subdued demand and limited pass-through from earlier energy adjustments. Analysts recently lifted their full-year 2026 inflation median to 30.5%, citing modest upside risks, yet monthly prints remain on a disinflation path toward multi-year lows. The INDEC release in early June will resolve the market, with any further central bank communications on rates serving as the next near-term catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,627วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April consumer price data showing a 2.6% month-on-month rise, down from March’s 3.4%, has anchored trader expectations for continued moderation in May under Argentina’s tight monetary stance and stabilized peso. This supports the 62% market-implied probability on the 2.2–2.4% range as the leading outcome, reflecting subdued demand and limited pass-through from earlier energy adjustments. Analysts recently lifted their full-year 2026 inflation median to 30.5%, citing modest upside risks, yet monthly prints remain on a disinflation path toward multi-year lows. The INDEC release in early June will resolve the market, with any further central bank communications on rates serving as the next near-term catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย