Trader consensus prices a Democratic blue wave in the 2026 midterms at 73.5 percent, reflecting sustained leads in generic ballot polling that average 8 to 10 points for Democrats in recent national surveys. President Trump's approval ratings below 43 percent align with historical midterm patterns in which the president's party typically loses House seats. A surge in Republican retirements has opened additional competitive districts, while voter discontent over economic pressures and foreign policy developments has widened the enthusiasm gap. The Senate map remains the principal constraint, yet current polling trends and structural advantages continue to anchor elevated odds for Democratic control of both chambers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$43,209 ปริมาณ
$43,209 ปริมาณ
$43,209 ปริมาณ
$43,209 ปริมาณ
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a Democratic blue wave in the 2026 midterms at 73.5 percent, reflecting sustained leads in generic ballot polling that average 8 to 10 points for Democrats in recent national surveys. President Trump's approval ratings below 43 percent align with historical midterm patterns in which the president's party typically loses House seats. A surge in Republican retirements has opened additional competitive districts, while voter discontent over economic pressures and foreign policy developments has widened the enthusiasm gap. The Senate map remains the principal constraint, yet current polling trends and structural advantages continue to anchor elevated odds for Democratic control of both chambers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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