California's 51st congressional district carries an extreme Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+50 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with a commanding share against Republican Ricardo Cabrera, underscoring the district's San Diego-area voting patterns and structural advantages that include incumbency, fundraising edges, and minimal effective opposition. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 94.5% aligns with these baseline factors and limited movement since the primary. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include a major scandal involving the incumbent, a significant health development, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's entrenched lean before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-51 House Election Winner
CA-51 House Election Winner
$32,177 ปริมาณ
$32,177 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$32,177 ปริมาณ
$32,177 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,923 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$14,253 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 51st congressional district carries an extreme Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+50 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with a commanding share against Republican Ricardo Cabrera, underscoring the district's San Diego-area voting patterns and structural advantages that include incumbency, fundraising edges, and minimal effective opposition. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 94.5% aligns with these baseline factors and limited movement since the primary. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include a major scandal involving the incumbent, a significant health development, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's entrenched lean before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,177วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 51st congressional district carries an extreme Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+50 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with a commanding share against Republican Ricardo Cabrera, underscoring the district's San Diego-area voting patterns and structural advantages that include incumbency, fundraising edges, and minimal effective opposition. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 94.5% aligns with these baseline factors and limited movement since the primary. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include a major scandal involving the incumbent, a significant health development, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's entrenched lean before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,177วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 51st congressional district carries an extreme Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+50 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with a commanding share against Republican Ricardo Cabrera, underscoring the district's San Diego-area voting patterns and structural advantages that include incumbency, fundraising edges, and minimal effective opposition. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 94.5% aligns with these baseline factors and limited movement since the primary. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include a major scandal involving the incumbent, a significant health development, or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's entrenched lean before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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