Recent polling averages position Byron Donalds as the clear frontrunner in Florida’s August 18 Republican gubernatorial primary, with support near 47 percent, leaving Lt. Gov. Jay Collins in second at roughly 14–18 percent and James Fishback close behind in single digits. This distribution has driven trader consensus toward Collins as the most probable second-place finisher, reflected in his elevated market price ahead of Paul Renner and lower-polling entrants. Key recent catalysts include Donalds’s Trump endorsement and fundraising advantage, Collins’s appeals on property taxes and affordability, and ongoing early voting that has not yet narrowed the gap. With the primary vote only hours away, the outcome hinges on final turnout among Republican primary voters and any late shifts among undecided respondents.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJay Collins 79%
James Fishback 21%
Paul Renner 1.0%
Byron Donalds <1%
$92,706 ปริมาณ
$92,706 ปริมาณ
Jay Collins
79%
James Fishback
21%
Paul Renner
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
Jim Holcomb
<1%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
<1%
Daniel Nokovich
<1%
Rachel Rodriguez
<1%
James Walker Shaw
<1%
Caneste Succe
<1%
Bobby Williams
<1%
Jay Collins 79%
James Fishback 21%
Paul Renner 1.0%
Byron Donalds <1%
$92,706 ปริมาณ
$92,706 ปริมาณ
Jay Collins
79%
James Fishback
21%
Paul Renner
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
Jim Holcomb
<1%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
<1%
Daniel Nokovich
<1%
Rachel Rodriguez
<1%
James Walker Shaw
<1%
Caneste Succe
<1%
Bobby Williams
<1%
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 10, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position Byron Donalds as the clear frontrunner in Florida’s August 18 Republican gubernatorial primary, with support near 47 percent, leaving Lt. Gov. Jay Collins in second at roughly 14–18 percent and James Fishback close behind in single digits. This distribution has driven trader consensus toward Collins as the most probable second-place finisher, reflected in his elevated market price ahead of Paul Renner and lower-polling entrants. Key recent catalysts include Donalds’s Trump endorsement and fundraising advantage, Collins’s appeals on property taxes and affordability, and ongoing early voting that has not yet narrowed the gap. With the primary vote only hours away, the outcome hinges on final turnout among Republican primary voters and any late shifts among undecided respondents.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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