Trader consensus on the Polymarket centers on A100 rental rates landing in the $1.00–$1.25 per GPU-hour band at end-September 2026, reflecting 60% implied probability. This aligns closely with live marketplace and neocloud benchmarks, where on-demand listings cluster around $0.89–$1.77 (median near $1.90 across providers) and spot/interruptible capacity often dips to $0.68 or below as of mid-September. The Ornn Compute Price Index (OCPI-A100) settled at exactly $1.00 per GPU-hour on September 18, with only modest weekly volatility and a 7.8% decline over the prior 30 days. Positioning stems from structural supply-demand balance: A100 (Ampere-generation, 40/80 GB variants) remains widely available for inference, fine-tuning, and mid-tier training, but demand continues migrating to higher-throughput H100/H200 and Blackwell-class GPUs. This substitution, combined with ongoing releases of older fleet capacity into secondary markets like Vast.ai, RunPod, and Jarvislabs, exerts steady downward pressure that offsets any localized spikes. Recent data show median on-demand rates largely flat over the past 90 days. Key near-term catalysts include continued hyperscaler and neocloud capacity additions ahead of the September 30 resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1.00-$1.25 60%
$0.75-$1.00 37.8%
$1.25-$1.50 2.8%
$0.50-$0.75 1.0%
$59,214 ปริมาณ
$59,214 ปริมาณ
<$0.50
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
1%
$0.75-$1.00
38%
$1.00-$1.25
60%
$1.25-$1.50
3%
$1.50+
1%
$1.00-$1.25 60%
$0.75-$1.00 37.8%
$1.25-$1.50 2.8%
$0.50-$0.75 1.0%
$59,214 ปริมาณ
$59,214 ปริมาณ
<$0.50
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
1%
$0.75-$1.00
38%
$1.00-$1.25
60%
$1.25-$1.50
3%
$1.50+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 11:37 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Polymarket centers on A100 rental rates landing in the $1.00–$1.25 per GPU-hour band at end-September 2026, reflecting 60% implied probability. This aligns closely with live marketplace and neocloud benchmarks, where on-demand listings cluster around $0.89–$1.77 (median near $1.90 across providers) and spot/interruptible capacity often dips to $0.68 or below as of mid-September. The Ornn Compute Price Index (OCPI-A100) settled at exactly $1.00 per GPU-hour on September 18, with only modest weekly volatility and a 7.8% decline over the prior 30 days. Positioning stems from structural supply-demand balance: A100 (Ampere-generation, 40/80 GB variants) remains widely available for inference, fine-tuning, and mid-tier training, but demand continues migrating to higher-throughput H100/H200 and Blackwell-class GPUs. This substitution, combined with ongoing releases of older fleet capacity into secondary markets like Vast.ai, RunPod, and Jarvislabs, exerts steady downward pressure that offsets any localized spikes. Recent data show median on-demand rates largely flat over the past 90 days. Key near-term catalysts include continued hyperscaler and neocloud capacity additions ahead of the September 30 resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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