Increased supply from the ongoing Blackwell B200 ramp, combined with broader capacity additions across hyperscalers and neocloud providers, forms the core driver pushing trader consensus toward lower H100 rental prices in July. Spot and on-demand rates have already declined 30-40% since early May 2026 as newer GPUs absorb premium workloads and H100 shifts toward mainstream inference and training. Historical patterns show H100 median pricing falling from peaks above $7 per hour in 2024-2025 to the current $2-3 range, with further compression expected as data-center buildouts mature and demand normalizes. Key near-term catalysts include continued B200 availability and any hyperscaler order adjustments that could accelerate the supply glut. Traders view these dynamics as outweighing residual enterprise demand, creating an 80% implied probability of a July decline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUp
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Jul 31, 2026
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Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply from the ongoing Blackwell B200 ramp, combined with broader capacity additions across hyperscalers and neocloud providers, forms the core driver pushing trader consensus toward lower H100 rental prices in July. Spot and on-demand rates have already declined 30-40% since early May 2026 as newer GPUs absorb premium workloads and H100 shifts toward mainstream inference and training. Historical patterns show H100 median pricing falling from peaks above $7 per hour in 2024-2025 to the current $2-3 range, with further compression expected as data-center buildouts mature and demand normalizes. Key near-term catalysts include continued B200 availability and any hyperscaler order adjustments that could accelerate the supply glut. Traders view these dynamics as outweighing residual enterprise demand, creating an 80% implied probability of a July decline.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 10, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply from the ongoing Blackwell B200 ramp, combined with broader capacity additions across hyperscalers and neocloud providers, forms the core driver pushing trader consensus toward lower H100 rental prices in July. Spot and on-demand rates have already declined 30-40% since early May 2026 as newer GPUs absorb premium workloads and H100 shifts toward mainstream inference and training. Historical patterns show H100 median pricing falling from peaks above $7 per hour in 2024-2025 to the current $2-3 range, with further compression expected as data-center buildouts mature and demand normalizes. Key near-term catalysts include continued B200 availability and any hyperscaler order adjustments that could accelerate the supply glut. Traders view these dynamics as outweighing residual enterprise demand, creating an 80% implied probability of a July decline.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Increased supply from the ongoing Blackwell B200 ramp, combined with broader capacity additions across hyperscalers and neocloud providers, forms the core driver pushing trader consensus toward lower H100 rental prices in July. Spot and on-demand rates have already declined 30-40% since early May 2026 as newer GPUs absorb premium workloads and H100 shifts toward mainstream inference and training. Historical patterns show H100 median pricing falling from peaks above $7 per hour in 2024-2025 to the current $2-3 range, with further compression expected as data-center buildouts mature and demand normalizes. Key near-term catalysts include continued B200 availability and any hyperscaler order adjustments that could accelerate the supply glut. Traders view these dynamics as outweighing residual enterprise demand, creating an 80% implied probability of a July decline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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