US military strikes in mid-July 2026 targeted Iranian coastal defenses and cruise-missile facilities on Greater Tunb during escalation over Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes, damaging IRGC infrastructure but leaving administrative and military control with Iran unchanged. The island has remained under Tehran’s authority since its 1971 seizure alongside Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb, despite UAE sovereignty claims and Gulf Cooperation Council statements. Iran has reinforced its position through recent missile deployments on the Tunbs and formal land registration, while diplomatic channels such as International Court of Justice referrals show no active resolution process. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any occupation, handover, or effective challenge capable of altering on-the-ground authority by late summer 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$55,050 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
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$55,050 ปริมาณ
September 30
$382 ปริมาณ
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US military strikes in mid-July 2026 targeted Iranian coastal defenses and cruise-missile facilities on Greater Tunb during escalation over Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes, damaging IRGC infrastructure but leaving administrative and military control with Iran unchanged. The island has remained under Tehran’s authority since its 1971 seizure alongside Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb, despite UAE sovereignty claims and Gulf Cooperation Council statements. Iran has reinforced its position through recent missile deployments on the Tunbs and formal land registration, while diplomatic channels such as International Court of Justice referrals show no active resolution process. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any occupation, handover, or effective challenge capable of altering on-the-ground authority by late summer 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,050วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US military strikes in mid-July 2026 targeted Iranian coastal defenses and cruise-missile facilities on Greater Tunb during escalation over Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes, damaging IRGC infrastructure but leaving administrative and military control with Iran unchanged. The island has remained under Tehran’s authority since its 1971 seizure alongside Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb, despite UAE sovereignty claims and Gulf Cooperation Council statements. Iran has reinforced its position through recent missile deployments on the Tunbs and formal land registration, while diplomatic channels such as International Court of Justice referrals show no active resolution process. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any occupation, handover, or effective challenge capable of altering on-the-ground authority by late summer 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,050วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 11:04 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...US military strikes in mid-July 2026 targeted Iranian coastal defenses and cruise-missile facilities on Greater Tunb during escalation over Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes, damaging IRGC infrastructure but leaving administrative and military control with Iran unchanged. The island has remained under Tehran’s authority since its 1971 seizure alongside Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb, despite UAE sovereignty claims and Gulf Cooperation Council statements. Iran has reinforced its position through recent missile deployments on the Tunbs and formal land registration, while diplomatic channels such as International Court of Justice referrals show no active resolution process. Trader consensus reflects the absence of any occupation, handover, or effective challenge capable of altering on-the-ground authority by late summer 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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