**Forecast models and official guidance point to a highest temperature of 23–24°C in Ankara on August 29, 2026, as the most probable outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and north-easterly flow are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping peaks below the late-August climatological average near 29–30°C. Multiple sources, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), Met Office, and numerical models, indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with precipitation chances of 30–50% during peak heating hours, which reduces incoming solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling. Winds from the northeast at 5–10 m/s further advect slightly cooler maritime air, while surface pressures around 1012–1014 hPa support stable but unsettled conditions. Recent model runs have shown consistency in this pattern, with minimal upward revision in maximum temperatures over the past 24–48 hours. These factors explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 23°C (38%) and 24°C (25.5%), with lower odds for 22°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
23°C 38%
24°C 26%
22°C 18%
25°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
7%
22°C
18%
23°C
38%
24°C
26%
25°C
11%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 38%
24°C 26%
22°C 18%
25°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$100 ปริมาณ
7%
22°C
$441 ปริมาณ
18%
23°C
$741 ปริมาณ
38%
24°C
$865 ปริมาณ
26%
25°C
$243 ปริมาณ
11%
26°C
$103 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$92 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$204 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$276 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$276 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance point to a highest temperature of 23–24°C in Ankara on August 29, 2026, as the most probable outcomes.**
Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and north-easterly flow are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping peaks below the late-August climatological average near 29–30°C. Multiple sources, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), Met Office, and numerical models, indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with precipitation chances of 30–50% during peak heating hours, which reduces incoming solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling.
Winds from the northeast at 5–10 m/s further advect slightly cooler maritime air, while surface pressures around 1012–1014 hPa support stable but unsettled conditions. Recent model runs have shown consistency in this pattern, with minimal upward revision in maximum temperatures over the past 24–48 hours.
These factors explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 23°C (38%) and 24°C (25.5%), with lower odds for 22°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,346วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance point to a highest temperature of 23–24°C in Ankara on August 29, 2026, as the most probable outcomes.**
Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and north-easterly flow are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping peaks below the late-August climatological average near 29–30°C. Multiple sources, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), Met Office, and numerical models, indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with precipitation chances of 30–50% during peak heating hours, which reduces incoming solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling.
Winds from the northeast at 5–10 m/s further advect slightly cooler maritime air, while surface pressures around 1012–1014 hPa support stable but unsettled conditions. Recent model runs have shown consistency in this pattern, with minimal upward revision in maximum temperatures over the past 24–48 hours.
These factors explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 23°C (38%) and 24°C (25.5%), with lower odds for 22°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,346วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance point to a highest temperature of 23–24°C in Ankara on August 29, 2026, as the most probable outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and north-easterly flow are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping peaks below the late-August climatological average near 29–30°C. Multiple sources, including the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), Met Office, and numerical models, indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with precipitation chances of 30–50% during peak heating hours, which reduces incoming solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling. Winds from the northeast at 5–10 m/s further advect slightly cooler maritime air, while surface pressures around 1012–1014 hPa support stable but unsettled conditions. Recent model runs have shown consistency in this pattern, with minimal upward revision in maximum temperatures over the past 24–48 hours. These factors explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 23°C (38%) and 24°C (25.5%), with lower odds for 22°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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