Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international agencies converge on a maximum temperature of 24–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, increased cloud cover, and cooler air advection following a recent cooldown. This places the day well below the late-August climatological average high near 31°C, with limited diurnal heating expected under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions and light winds. Official guidance shows little model spread on peak values, supporting the market’s strong emphasis on the 24°C and 25°C outcomes while leaving modest probability for a 26°C outlier if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated. Updated runs ahead of the diurnal maximum will refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
25°C 49%
24°C 38%
26°C 11%
27°C 2%
$12,348 ปริมาณ
$12,348 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
38%
25°C
49%
26°C
11%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
24°C 38%
26°C 11%
27°C 2%
$12,348 ปริมาณ
$12,348 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
38%
25°C
49%
26°C
11%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international agencies converge on a maximum temperature of 24–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, increased cloud cover, and cooler air advection following a recent cooldown. This places the day well below the late-August climatological average high near 31°C, with limited diurnal heating expected under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions and light winds. Official guidance shows little model spread on peak values, supporting the market’s strong emphasis on the 24°C and 25°C outcomes while leaving modest probability for a 26°C outlier if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated. Updated runs ahead of the diurnal maximum will refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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