Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate showers and thunderstorms suppressing daytime heating over Chicago, holding the high well below the August climatological normal near 83°F. Model consensus clusters around 76–79°F, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (32.5% and 31%) to the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins amid lingering uncertainty in cloud cover timing, lake-breeze strength, and exact rainfall totals. This narrow spread reflects genuine forecast variability rather than a single dominant outcome, with resolution hinging on official maximum temperature observations for the calendar day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 13?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 13?
76-77°F 33%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 17%
80-81°F 12%
ใหม่
$21,049 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$21,049 ปริมาณ
Aug 13, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 33%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 17%
80-81°F 12%
ใหม่
$21,049 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$21,049 ปริมาณ
Aug 13, 2026
67°F or below
$4,007 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$2,662 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$2,801 ปริมาณ
1%
72-73°F
$1,221 ปริมาณ
4%
74-75°F
$1,909 ปริมาณ
17%
76-77°F
$1,299 ปริมาณ
33%
78-79°F
$1,012 ปริมาณ
32%
80-81°F
$1,234 ปริมาณ
12%
82-83°F
$2,381 ปริมาณ
3%
84-85°F
$1,043 ปริมาณ
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,481 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate showers and thunderstorms suppressing daytime heating over Chicago, holding the high well below the August climatological normal near 83°F. Model consensus clusters around 76–79°F, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (32.5% and 31%) to the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins amid lingering uncertainty in cloud cover timing, lake-breeze strength, and exact rainfall totals. This narrow spread reflects genuine forecast variability rather than a single dominant outcome, with resolution hinging on official maximum temperature observations for the calendar day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,049วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate showers and thunderstorms suppressing daytime heating over Chicago, holding the high well below the August climatological normal near 83°F. Model consensus clusters around 76–79°F, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (32.5% and 31%) to the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins amid lingering uncertainty in cloud cover timing, lake-breeze strength, and exact rainfall totals. This narrow spread reflects genuine forecast variability rather than a single dominant outcome, with resolution hinging on official maximum temperature observations for the calendar day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,049วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate showers and thunderstorms suppressing daytime heating over Chicago, holding the high well below the August climatological normal near 83°F. Model consensus clusters around 76–79°F, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (32.5% and 31%) to the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins amid lingering uncertainty in cloud cover timing, lake-breeze strength, and exact rainfall totals. This narrow spread reflects genuine forecast variability rather than a single dominant outcome, with resolution hinging on official maximum temperature observations for the calendar day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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