Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements for August 15 established a maximum air temperature of 31°C at the headquarters station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This reading aligns with post-heatwave conditions following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin’s influence earlier in August, when regional maxima briefly exceeded 36°C before steering patterns and increased cloud cover moderated daily peaks. Historical August climatology from the observatory shows typical maxima near 31–32°C, providing context for the observed value. Minor uncertainty remains only if post-processing revisions to the official record or alternative station data alter the precise threshold, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are validated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
31°C 99.8%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$285,126 ปริมาณ
$285,126 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$285,126 ปริมาณ
$285,126 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$5,905 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$33,529 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$34,869 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$24,515 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$44,123 ปริมาณ
100%
32°C
$46,292 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$38,959 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$28,957 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$4,084 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$2,633 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$21,260 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements for August 15 established a maximum air temperature of 31°C at the headquarters station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This reading aligns with post-heatwave conditions following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin’s influence earlier in August, when regional maxima briefly exceeded 36°C before steering patterns and increased cloud cover moderated daily peaks. Historical August climatology from the observatory shows typical maxima near 31–32°C, providing context for the observed value. Minor uncertainty remains only if post-processing revisions to the official record or alternative station data alter the precise threshold, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$285,126วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements for August 15 established a maximum air temperature of 31°C at the headquarters station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This reading aligns with post-heatwave conditions following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin’s influence earlier in August, when regional maxima briefly exceeded 36°C before steering patterns and increased cloud cover moderated daily peaks. Historical August climatology from the observatory shows typical maxima near 31–32°C, providing context for the observed value. Minor uncertainty remains only if post-processing revisions to the official record or alternative station data alter the precise threshold, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$285,126วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements for August 15 established a maximum air temperature of 31°C at the headquarters station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. This reading aligns with post-heatwave conditions following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin’s influence earlier in August, when regional maxima briefly exceeded 36°C before steering patterns and increased cloud cover moderated daily peaks. Historical August climatology from the observatory shows typical maxima near 31–32°C, providing context for the observed value. Minor uncertainty remains only if post-processing revisions to the official record or alternative station data alter the precise threshold, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are validated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย