Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This aligns with mid-May subtropical climatology, where persistent high pressure from the South China Sea and strengthening southwest monsoon flow typically produce afternoon highs in the 26–29°C range at the primary urban station, consistent with historical records showing median maxima rising toward 28°C during this transition period. Model guidance and observational trends prior to the date supported stable conditions without significant diurnal heating spikes. A realistic challenge to this resolution would require an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed and archived.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 ปริมาณ
$292,518 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 ปริมาณ
$292,518 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$2,551 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$3,480 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$3,250 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$3,799 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$5,477 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$30,336 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$69,254 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$89,457 ปริมาณ
100%
28°C
$45,405 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,925 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This aligns with mid-May subtropical climatology, where persistent high pressure from the South China Sea and strengthening southwest monsoon flow typically produce afternoon highs in the 26–29°C range at the primary urban station, consistent with historical records showing median maxima rising toward 28°C during this transition period. Model guidance and observational trends prior to the date supported stable conditions without significant diurnal heating spikes. A realistic challenge to this resolution would require an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed and archived.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$292,518วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This aligns with mid-May subtropical climatology, where persistent high pressure from the South China Sea and strengthening southwest monsoon flow typically produce afternoon highs in the 26–29°C range at the primary urban station, consistent with historical records showing median maxima rising toward 28°C during this transition period. Model guidance and observational trends prior to the date supported stable conditions without significant diurnal heating spikes. A realistic challenge to this resolution would require an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed and archived.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$292,518วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This aligns with mid-May subtropical climatology, where persistent high pressure from the South China Sea and strengthening southwest monsoon flow typically produce afternoon highs in the 26–29°C range at the primary urban station, consistent with historical records showing median maxima rising toward 28°C during this transition period. Model guidance and observational trends prior to the date supported stable conditions without significant diurnal heating spikes. A realistic challenge to this resolution would require an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed and archived.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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