Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,840 ปริมาณ
$302,840 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,840 ปริมาณ
$302,840 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$12,423 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$12,259 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$6,633 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$4,753 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$37,336 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$77,401 ปริมาณ
100%
26°C
$43,033 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$39,653 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$25,261 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$302,840วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$302,840วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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