The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16, recorded at its principal urban stations under standardized Stevenson screen conditions, has driven near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This reading aligns with a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promoted subsidence, widespread cloud cover from a moist easterly flow, and limited daytime solar heating during the pre-monsoon transition period. Climatological baselines for mid-May show typical highs of 28–29°C, so the cooler anomaly reflects measurable synoptic suppression rather than model uncertainty. While official data leave little room for revision, an undetected instrumentation anomaly or post-hoc quality-control adjustment at the Observatory could theoretically reopen the market, though historical precedent for such changes on daily maxima remains exceedingly rare.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,885 ปริมาณ
$303,885 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,885 ปริมาณ
$303,885 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$12,423 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$12,259 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$6,633 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$4,753 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$37,336 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$77,401 ปริมาณ
100%
26°C
$43,033 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$39,653 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$25,261 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16, recorded at its principal urban stations under standardized Stevenson screen conditions, has driven near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This reading aligns with a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promoted subsidence, widespread cloud cover from a moist easterly flow, and limited daytime solar heating during the pre-monsoon transition period. Climatological baselines for mid-May show typical highs of 28–29°C, so the cooler anomaly reflects measurable synoptic suppression rather than model uncertainty. While official data leave little room for revision, an undetected instrumentation anomaly or post-hoc quality-control adjustment at the Observatory could theoretically reopen the market, though historical precedent for such changes on daily maxima remains exceedingly rare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$303,885วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16, recorded at its principal urban stations under standardized Stevenson screen conditions, has driven near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This reading aligns with a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promoted subsidence, widespread cloud cover from a moist easterly flow, and limited daytime solar heating during the pre-monsoon transition period. Climatological baselines for mid-May show typical highs of 28–29°C, so the cooler anomaly reflects measurable synoptic suppression rather than model uncertainty. While official data leave little room for revision, an undetected instrumentation anomaly or post-hoc quality-control adjustment at the Observatory could theoretically reopen the market, though historical precedent for such changes on daily maxima remains exceedingly rare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$303,885วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16, recorded at its principal urban stations under standardized Stevenson screen conditions, has driven near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This reading aligns with a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promoted subsidence, widespread cloud cover from a moist easterly flow, and limited daytime solar heating during the pre-monsoon transition period. Climatological baselines for mid-May show typical highs of 28–29°C, so the cooler anomaly reflects measurable synoptic suppression rather than model uncertainty. While official data leave little room for revision, an undetected instrumentation anomaly or post-hoc quality-control adjustment at the Observatory could theoretically reopen the market, though historical precedent for such changes on daily maxima remains exceedingly rare.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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