Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28°C for May 18, driven by moderate southwesterly airflow and typical late-spring humidity levels that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through July, influenced by ongoing climate warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions. Model consensus shows low variability, with minimal risk of stronger warming or cooler northerly intrusions, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 26–29°C range. The official daily bulletin expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?
27°C 48%
28°C 30%
26°C 19%
29°C 9.3%
ใหม่
$78,171 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$78,171 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
19%
27°C
48%
28°C
30%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 30%
26°C 19%
29°C 9.3%
ใหม่
$78,171 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$78,171 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$5,221 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$3,756 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$14,385 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$8,178 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$7,339 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$7,456 ปริมาณ
19%
27°C
$5,068 ปริมาณ
48%
28°C
$4,363 ปริมาณ
30%
29°C
$8,175 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$5,702 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C or higher
$8,673 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28°C for May 18, driven by moderate southwesterly airflow and typical late-spring humidity levels that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through July, influenced by ongoing climate warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions. Model consensus shows low variability, with minimal risk of stronger warming or cooler northerly intrusions, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 26–29°C range. The official daily bulletin expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,171วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28°C for May 18, driven by moderate southwesterly airflow and typical late-spring humidity levels that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through July, influenced by ongoing climate warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions. Model consensus shows low variability, with minimal risk of stronger warming or cooler northerly intrusions, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 26–29°C range. The official daily bulletin expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,171วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 27–28°C for May 18, driven by moderate southwesterly airflow and typical late-spring humidity levels that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through July, influenced by ongoing climate warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions. Model consensus shows low variability, with minimal risk of stronger warming or cooler northerly intrusions, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 26–29°C range. The official daily bulletin expected later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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