Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on August 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 4?
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,778 ปริมาณ
$31,778 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,778 ปริมาณ
$31,778 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
87°F or below
$383 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$697 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$1,776 ปริมาณ
No
92-93°F
$2,595 ปริมาณ
No
94-95°F
$10,981 ปริมาณ
Yes
96-97°F
$7,832 ปริมาณ
No
98-99°F
$3,959 ปริมาณ
No
100-101°F
$1,181 ปริมาณ
No
102-103°F
$1,283 ปริมาณ
No
104-105°F
$498 ปริมาณ
No
106°F or higher
$592 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,778วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,778วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย