Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from models including ECMWF and GFS shows a stable high-pressure pattern over the region, supporting maximum temperatures in Istanbul on June 17 clustered around 24–26°C under mostly sunny to scattered cloud conditions with moderate northerly to northeasterly flow. This aligns closely with mid-June climatology, where average daily highs reach 25–26°C, and reflects limited day-to-day variability in the current ensemble runs. Trader positioning favoring 24°C (36.5% implied probability) over slightly warmer alternatives stems from the tight model spread and absence of strong southerly advection that could push readings higher. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation ahead of the event remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 17?
24°C 34%
25°C 23%
26°C 19%
23°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
12%
24°C
34%
25°C
23%
26°C
17%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
3%
24°C 34%
25°C 23%
26°C 19%
23°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
19°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$8 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
24°C
$124 ปริมาณ
34%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
26°C
$130 ปริมาณ
17%
27°C
$59 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C or higher
$30 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from models including ECMWF and GFS shows a stable high-pressure pattern over the region, supporting maximum temperatures in Istanbul on June 17 clustered around 24–26°C under mostly sunny to scattered cloud conditions with moderate northerly to northeasterly flow. This aligns closely with mid-June climatology, where average daily highs reach 25–26°C, and reflects limited day-to-day variability in the current ensemble runs. Trader positioning favoring 24°C (36.5% implied probability) over slightly warmer alternatives stems from the tight model spread and absence of strong southerly advection that could push readings higher. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation ahead of the event remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$342วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from models including ECMWF and GFS shows a stable high-pressure pattern over the region, supporting maximum temperatures in Istanbul on June 17 clustered around 24–26°C under mostly sunny to scattered cloud conditions with moderate northerly to northeasterly flow. This aligns closely with mid-June climatology, where average daily highs reach 25–26°C, and reflects limited day-to-day variability in the current ensemble runs. Trader positioning favoring 24°C (36.5% implied probability) over slightly warmer alternatives stems from the tight model spread and absence of strong southerly advection that could push readings higher. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation ahead of the event remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$342วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from models including ECMWF and GFS shows a stable high-pressure pattern over the region, supporting maximum temperatures in Istanbul on June 17 clustered around 24–26°C under mostly sunny to scattered cloud conditions with moderate northerly to northeasterly flow. This aligns closely with mid-June climatology, where average daily highs reach 25–26°C, and reflects limited day-to-day variability in the current ensemble runs. Trader positioning favoring 24°C (36.5% implied probability) over slightly warmer alternatives stems from the tight model spread and absence of strong southerly advection that could push readings higher. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation ahead of the event remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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