Persistent monsoon conditions, with active low-level easterly flow and moisture influx from the Bay of Bengal, are driving the market's strong tilt toward 30–31°C as Lucknow's September 4 maximum. Recent heavy rainfall (35–67 mm in parts of the city on September 1–2) has produced widespread cloud cover and elevated humidity, suppressing daytime heating and keeping recent maxima 2–3°C below normal per India Meteorological Department observations. Official guidance and model consensus through September 4 indicate continued scattered thundershowers and limited insolation, limiting the potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric patterns heavily, with implied probabilities aligning closely to the 29–31°C envelope typical under active monsoon regimes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 4?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 4?
31°C 50%
30°C 20%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
20%
31°C
50%
32°C
18%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 50%
30°C 20%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$73 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$108 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$181 ปริมาณ
20%
31°C
$70 ปริมาณ
50%
32°C
$227 ปริมาณ
18%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$3 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon conditions, with active low-level easterly flow and moisture influx from the Bay of Bengal, are driving the market's strong tilt toward 30–31°C as Lucknow's September 4 maximum. Recent heavy rainfall (35–67 mm in parts of the city on September 1–2) has produced widespread cloud cover and elevated humidity, suppressing daytime heating and keeping recent maxima 2–3°C below normal per India Meteorological Department observations. Official guidance and model consensus through September 4 indicate continued scattered thundershowers and limited insolation, limiting the potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric patterns heavily, with implied probabilities aligning closely to the 29–31°C envelope typical under active monsoon regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$821วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon conditions, with active low-level easterly flow and moisture influx from the Bay of Bengal, are driving the market's strong tilt toward 30–31°C as Lucknow's September 4 maximum. Recent heavy rainfall (35–67 mm in parts of the city on September 1–2) has produced widespread cloud cover and elevated humidity, suppressing daytime heating and keeping recent maxima 2–3°C below normal per India Meteorological Department observations. Official guidance and model consensus through September 4 indicate continued scattered thundershowers and limited insolation, limiting the potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric patterns heavily, with implied probabilities aligning closely to the 29–31°C envelope typical under active monsoon regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$821วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon conditions, with active low-level easterly flow and moisture influx from the Bay of Bengal, are driving the market's strong tilt toward 30–31°C as Lucknow's September 4 maximum. Recent heavy rainfall (35–67 mm in parts of the city on September 1–2) has produced widespread cloud cover and elevated humidity, suppressing daytime heating and keeping recent maxima 2–3°C below normal per India Meteorological Department observations. Official guidance and model consensus through September 4 indicate continued scattered thundershowers and limited insolation, limiting the potential for brief clearing that could push readings to 32°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric patterns heavily, with implied probabilities aligning closely to the 29–31°C envelope typical under active monsoon regimes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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